We scored mid-20th-century sci-fi writers on nonfiction predictions. They weren't great, but weren't terrible either. Maybe doing futurism works fine.https://www.cold-takes.com/the-track-record-of-futurists-seems-fine/

We scored mid-20th-century sci-fi writers on nonfiction predictions. They weren't great, but weren't terrible either. Maybe doing futurism works fine. <a href="https://www.cold-takes.com/the-track-record-of-futurists-seems-fine/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://www.cold-takes.com/the-track-record-of-futurists-seems-fine/</a>

The Track Record of Futurists Seems ... Fine

With great power comes, er, unclear responsibility and zero accountability. https://www.cold-takes.com/nonprofit-boards-are-weird-2/

With great power comes, er, unclear responsibility and zero accountability.  <a href="https://www.cold-takes.com/nonprofit-boards-are-weird-2/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://www.cold-takes.com/nonprofit-boards-are-weird-2/</a>

Nonprofit Boards are Weird

How big a deal could AI misalignment be? About as big as it gets.https://www.cold-takes.com/ai-could-defeat-all-of-us-combined/

How big a deal could AI misalignment be? About as big as it gets. <a href="https://www.cold-takes.com/ai-could-defeat-all-of-us-combined/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://www.cold-takes.com/ai-could-defeat-all-of-us-combined/</a>

AI Could Defeat All Of Us Combined

Investigating important topics with laziness, impatience, hubris and self-preservation.https://www.cold-takes.com/useful-vices-for-wicked-problems/

Investigating important topics with laziness, impatience, hubris and self-preservation. <a href="https://www.cold-takes.com/useful-vices-for-wicked-problems/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://www.cold-takes.com/useful-vices-for-wicked-problems/</a>

Useful Vices for Wicked Problems

What kind of governance system should you set up, if you're starting from scratch and can do it however you want?https://www.cold-takes.com/ideal-governance-for-companies-countries-and-more/

What kind of governance system should you set up, if you're starting from scratch and can do it however you want? <a href="https://www.cold-takes.com/ideal-governance-for-companies-countries-and-more/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://www.cold-takes.com/ideal-governance-for-companies-countries-and-more/</a>

Ideal governance (for companies, countries and more)

Preventing extinction would be good - but "saving 8 billion lives" good or "saving a trillion trillion trillion lives" good?https://www.cold-takes.com/debating-myself-on-whether-extra-lives-lived-are-as-good-as-deaths-prevented/

Preventing extinction would be good - but "saving 8 billion lives" good or "saving a trillion trillion trillion lives" good? <a href="https://www.cold-takes.com/debating-myself-on-whether-extra-lives-lived-are-as-good-as-deaths-prevented/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://www.cold-takes.com/debating-myself-on-whether-extra-lives-lived-are-as-good-as-deaths-prevented/</a>

Debating myself on whether “extra lives lived” are as good as “deaths prevented”

A day in the life of trying to complete a self-assigned project with no clear spec or goal. https://www.cold-takes.com/the-wicked-problem-experience/

A day in the life of trying to complete a self-assigned project with no clear spec or goal.  <a href="https://www.cold-takes.com/the-wicked-problem-experience/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://www.cold-takes.com/the-wicked-problem-experience/</a>

The Wicked Problem Experience

Learning By Writing

First in a series of dialogues on utilitarianism and "future-proof ethics."https://www.cold-takes.com/defending-one-dimensional-ethics/

First in a series of dialogues on utilitarianism and "future-proof ethics." <a href="https://www.cold-takes.com/defending-one-dimensional-ethics/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://www.cold-takes.com/defending-one-dimensional-ethics/</a>

Defending One-Dimensional Ethics

Ethics based on common sense seems to have a horrible historical track record. Can we do better?https://www.cold-takes.com/future-proof-ethics/

Ethics based on common sense seems to have a horrible historical track record. Can we do better? <a href="https://www.cold-takes.com/future-proof-ethics/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://www.cold-takes.com/future-proof-ethics/</a>

Future-Proof Ethics

Amateur read-throughs of blog posts on Cold-Takes.com, for those who prefer listening to reading. Available on Apple, Spotify, Google Podcasts, and anywhere else you listen to podcasts by searching Cold Takes Audio.

Stakeholder Management and Cost Disease

Lots of theories for why older science and art seem to have an easier time getting critical acclaim.https://www.cold-takes.com/reader-reactions-and-update-on-wheres-todays-beethoven/

Lots of theories for why older science and art seem to have an easier time getting critical acclaim. <a href="https://www.cold-takes.com/reader-reactions-and-update-on-wheres-todays-beethoven/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://www.cold-takes.com/reader-reactions-and-update-on-wheres-todays-beethoven/</a>

Reader reactions and update on "Where's Today's Beethoven"

Want more innovation? Think about population, not recapturing "golden age" culture.https://www.cold-takes.com/why-it-matters-if-ideas-get-harder-to-find/

Want more innovation? Think about population, not recapturing "golden age" culture. <a href="https://www.cold-takes.com/why-it-matters-if-ideas-get-harder-to-find/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://www.cold-takes.com/why-it-matters-if-ideas-get-harder-to-find/</a>

Why it matters if "ideas get harder to find"

Why is no composer today as acclaimed as Beethoven, no author as acclaimed as Shakespeare? A data-driven look at a few possible explanations.https://www.cold-takes.com/wheres-todays-beethoven/

Why is no composer today as acclaimed as Beethoven, no author as acclaimed as Shakespeare? A data-driven look at a few possible explanations. <a href="https://www.cold-takes.com/wheres-todays-beethoven/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://www.cold-takes.com/wheres-todays-beethoven/</a>

Where's Today's Beethoven?

The Bayesian Mindset

An attempt to help visualize utopia, without running into pitfalls I covered previously.https://www.cold-takes.com/visualizing-utopia/

An attempt to help visualize utopia, without running into pitfalls I covered previously. <a href="https://www.cold-takes.com/visualizing-utopia/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://www.cold-takes.com/visualizing-utopia/</a>

Visualizing Utopia

Why Describing Utopia Goes Badly

The activity that has been most formative for the way I think: suspending my trust in others and digging to the bottom of some claim.https://www.cold-takes.com/minimal-trust-investigations/

The activity that has been most formative for the way I think: suspending my trust in others and digging to the bottom of some claim. <a href="https://www.cold-takes.com/minimal-trust-investigations/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://www.cold-takes.com/minimal-trust-investigations/</a>

Minimal-trust investigations

Did life get better during the pre-industrial era? (Ehhhh)

Homicide rates have fallen over the past 1000+ years, but wars and genocides may have gotten bigger. How does it net out?https://www.cold-takes.com/has-violence-declined-when-we-include-the-world-wars-and-other-major-atrocities/

Homicide rates have fallen over the past 1000+ years, but wars and genocides may have gotten bigger. How does it net out? <a href="https://www.cold-takes.com/has-violence-declined-when-we-include-the-world-wars-and-other-major-atrocities/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://www.cold-takes.com/has-violence-declined-when-we-include-the-world-wars-and-other-major-atrocities/</a>

Falling everyday violence, bigger wars and atrocities: how do they net out?

Amateur read-throughs of blog posts on <a href="http://Cold-Takes.com" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Cold-Takes.com</a>, for those who prefer listening to reading. Available on Apple, Spotify, Google Podcasts, and anywhere else you listen to podcasts by searching Cold Takes Audio.

Cold Takes Audio

The best podcast episodes on global issues affecting everyone. Covering topics such as the #metoo movement, climate change, the impact of technology and some of the biggest global issues facing us right now. For anyone interested in learning more about the world, and some of the issues we're facing, pick an episode below and start listening! Add episodes you're interested into your queue below!

Best Episodes on Global Issues

The best podcast episodes on physical health. Episodes talk about your diet, sleep, exercise and all the things that people do to improve their physical health and live a healthier life. This topic is for everyone, with applications in all of our everyday lives. Add episodes you're interested into your queue below!