Large Voter TurnoutVoter Turnout Appears Steady; Enthusiasm Running High (Gallup)Who Will Win?Who Do Voters Think Will Win (Navigator)Cookie PollThree Brothers Bakery Presidential Cookie Poll Has Accurately Predicted Winner of Last 3 Elections (KHOU)Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Large Voter Turnout<a href="https://news.gallup.com/poll/321599/voter-turnout-appears-steady-enthusiasm-running-high.aspx" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Voter Turnout Appears Steady; Enthusiasm Running High</a> (Gallup)Who Will Win?<a href="https://navigatorresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Navigator-Update-10.22.2020.pdf" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Who Do Voters Think Will Win</a> (Navigator)Cookie Poll<a href="https://www.khou.com/article/news/local/three-brothers-bakery-presidential-cookie-poll/285-2e74c59f-1cfa-4e76-970c-ac1872fdc280" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Three Brothers Bakery Presidential Cookie Poll Has Accurately Predicted Winner of Last 3 Elections</a> (KHOU)Learn more about your ad choices. Visit <a href="https://megaphone.fm/adchoices" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">megaphone.fm/adchoices</a>

We Hear There's an Election Next Week

Trump Job ApprovalTrump Job Approval (RealClear Politics)General ElectionPresidential General Election (RealClear Politics)CoronavirusCoronavirus Upends Nation, as Three in Four Americans' Lives Changed by Pandemic (ABC News/Ipsos)Governors Get High Marks For Handling COVID-19 Crisis (Monmouth)Tracking Public Opinion on the Coronavirus (Morning Consult)Public Opinion on Coronavirus (Navigator)Axios-Ipsos Coronavirus Index: Everything's Worse (Axios/Ipsos)If you are interested in learning about starting your own podcast, or you have a podcast and want to improve production, distribution, or marketing, contact Richard Fawal at Junto Media, https://juntomedia.co.Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Trump Job Approval<a href="https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_approval-6179.html" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Trump Job Approval</a> (RealClear Politics)General Election<a href="https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/general_election/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Presidential General Election</a> (RealClear Politics)Coronavirus<a href="https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/coronavirus-upends-nation-americans-lives-changed-pandemic-poll/story?id=69696172" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Coronavirus Upends Nation, as Three in Four Americans' Lives Changed by Pandemic</a> (ABC News/Ipsos)<a href="https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000171-087c-d9a0-a1f5-0afe03470000" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Governors Get High Marks For Handling COVID-19 Crisis</a> (Monmouth)<a href="https://morningconsult.com/form/tracking-public-opinion-on-the-coronavirus/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Tracking Public Opinion on the Coronavirus</a> (Morning Consult)<a href="https://navigatorresearch.org/navigating-coronavirus/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Public Opinion on Coronavirus</a> (Navigator)<a href="https://www.axios.com/coronavirus-index-week-2-everythings-worse-5f0af46b-4b73-4058-86f8-79051b4f7ee7.html" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Axios-Ipsos Coronavirus Index: Everything's Worse</a> (Axios/Ipsos) If you are interested in learning about starting your own podcast, or you have a podcast and want to improve production, distribution, or marketing, contact Richard Fawal at Junto Media, <a href="https://juntomedia.co" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://juntomedia.co</a>.Learn more about your ad choices. Visit <a href="https://megaphone.fm/adchoices" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">megaphone.fm/adchoices</a>

This is the End

Florida Democratic PrimaryWho Different Groups Supported (New York Times)National Democratic PrimaryNational Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight)Trump Job ApprovalTrump Job Approval (RealClear Politics)General ElectionGeneral Election (RealClear Politics)CoronavirusTrump Earns Mixed Grades on Coronavirus Response (Politico/Morning Consult)Coronavirus (NPR/PBS/Marist)Coronavirus (Reutors/Ipsos)Public Trusts Health Agencies More Than Trump (Axios)Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Florida Democratic Primary<a href="https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/03/17/us/elections/exit-polls-florida-primary.html" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Who Different Groups Supported</a> (New York Times)National Democratic Primary<a href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/national/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">National Democratic Primary</a> (FiveThirtyEight)Trump Job Approval<a href="https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_approval-6179.html" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Trump Job Approval</a> (RealClear Politics)General Election<a href="https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/general_election/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">General Election</a> (RealClear Politics)Coronavirus<a href="https://www.politico.com/news/2020/03/18/poll-trump-earns-mixed-grades-on-coronavirus-response-135247" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Trump Earns Mixed Grades on Coronavirus Response</a> (Politico/Morning Consult)<a href="http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/NPR_PBS-NewsHour_Marist-Poll_USA-NOS-and-Tables_2003151338.pdf#page=3" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Coronavirus</a> (NPR/PBS/Marist)<a href="https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/13/3563/3524/Topline%20Reuters%20Coronavirus%2003%2017%202020.pdf" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Coronavirus</a> (Reutors/Ipsos)<a href="https://www.axios.com/coronavirus-axios-surveymonkey-poll-6cec0f29-bff2-4d1e-bcc8-811e7981f0fe.html?utm_source=twitter&amp;utm_medium=social&amp;utm_campaign=organic" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Public Trusts Health Agencies More Than Trump</a> (Axios)Learn more about your ad choices. Visit <a href="https://megaphone.fm/adchoices" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">megaphone.fm/adchoices</a>

Polling Never Takes a Holiday

Democratic PrimaryFlorida Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight)National Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight)Biden Crushes Sanders In Democratic Race (Quinnipiac)Trump Job ApprovalTrump Job Approval (RealClear Politics)General ElectionGeneral Election (RealClear Politics)Approval of U.S. Congressional Republicans Tops Democrats (Gallup)CoronavirusTrump and the Coronavirus (CNN)Americans Divided on Party Lines Over Risk From Coronavirus (Reuters/Ipsos)Republicans are Twice as Likely as Democrats to View Coronavirus Coverage as Exaggerated (Axios/Survey Monkey)About One-Fifth of Democrats and Republicans get Political News in a Kind of Media Bubble (Pew Research Center)92% of Americans Dating as Normal Despite Coronavirus (OKcupid)Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Democratic Primary<a href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/florida/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Florida Democratic Primary</a> (FiveThirtyEight)<a href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/national/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">National Democratic Primary</a> (FiveThirtyEight)<a href="https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=3657" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Biden Crushes Sanders In Democratic Race</a> (Quinnipiac)Trump Job Approval<a href="https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_approval-6179.html" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Trump Job Approval</a> (RealClear Politics)General Election<a href="https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/general_election/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">General Election</a> (RealClear Politics)<a href="https://news.gallup.com/poll/287633/approval-congressional-republicans-tops-democrats.aspx" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Approval of U.S. Congressional Republicans Tops Democrats</a> (Gallup)Coronavirus<a href="http://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2020/images/03/09/rel2b.-.trump,.coronavirus.pdf" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Trump and the Coronavirus</a> (CNN)<a href="https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-usa-polarization-idUSKBN20T2O3" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Americans Divided on Party Lines Over Risk From Coronavirus</a> (Reuters/Ipsos)<a href="https://www.axios.com/coronavirus-poll-republicans-democrats-news-coverage-e092414b-b1ca-40ad-9293-eeb322b2fb3e.html" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Republicans are Twice as Likely as Democrats to View Coronavirus Coverage as Exaggerated</a> (Axios/Survey Monkey)<a href="https://www.journalism.org/2020/03/04/about-one-fifth-of-democrats-and-republicans-get-political-news-in-a-kind-of-media-bubble/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">About One-Fifth of Democrats and Republicans get Political News in a Kind of Media Bubble</a> (Pew Research Center)<a href="https://www.usnews.com/news/health-news/articles/2020-03-10/more-than-90-of-americans-dating-as-normal-despite-coronavirus-survey-finds?context=amp" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">92% of Americans Dating as Normal Despite Coronavirus</a> (OKcupid)Learn more about your ad choices. Visit <a href="https://megaphone.fm/adchoices" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">megaphone.fm/adchoices</a>

The Democratic Primary vs. The Coronavirus

Perfect Day

Democratic PrimaryNational Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight)Florida Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight)Michigan Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight)Trump ApprovalTrump Job Approval (RealClear Politics)General ElectionGeneral Election (RealClear Politics)Corona Beer and the CoronavirusThe Spread of the Coronavirus Couldn't Have Come at a Worse Time for Corona Beer(CNN)Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Democratic Primary<a href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/national/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">National Democratic Primary</a> (FiveThirtyEight)<a href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/florida/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Florida Democratic Primary</a> (FiveThirtyEight)<a href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/michigan/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Michigan Democratic Primary</a> (FiveThirtyEight)Trump Approval<a href="https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_approval-6179.html" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Trump Job Approval</a> (RealClear Politics)General Election<a href="https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/general_election/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">General Election</a> (RealClear Politics)Corona Beer and the Coronavirus<a href="https://www.cnn.com/2020/02/28/business/corona-beer-marketing/index.html" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">The Spread of the Coronavirus Couldn't Have Come at a Worse Time for Corona Beer</a>(CNN)Learn more about your ad choices. Visit <a href="https://megaphone.fm/adchoices" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">megaphone.fm/adchoices</a>

A Perfect Day For a Non-Pollster

Democratic National PrimaryDemocratic National Primary (FiveThirtyEight)South Carolina Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight)Debate Watchers Believe Bernie Sanders Made the Best Case for Defeating Trump (YouGov)Trump Job ApprovalTrump Job Approval (RealClear Politics)General ElectionGeneral Election (RealClear Politics)Republicans Increasingly Feel Like They’re ‘Winning’ Politically; Democrats Feel the Opposite (Pew Research Center)CornoavirusHow do Attitudes to Coronavirus Differ Across the World? (YouGov)High Confidence in Government to Handle Coronavirus (Gallup)Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Democratic National Primary<a href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/national/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Democratic National Primary</a> (FiveThirtyEight)<a href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/south-carolina/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">South Carolina Democratic Primary</a> (FiveThirtyEight)<a href="https://today.yougov.com/topics/politics/articles-reports/2020/02/26/post-debate-poll-sanders" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Debate Watchers Believe Bernie Sanders Made the Best Case for Defeating Trump</a> (YouGov)Trump Job Approval<a href="https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_approval-6179.html" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Trump Job Approval</a> (RealClear Politics)General Election<a href="https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/general_election/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">General Election</a> (RealClear Politics)<a href="https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2020/02/26/republicans-increasingly-feel-like-theyre-winning-politically-democrats-feel-the-opposite/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Republicans Increasingly Feel Like They’re ‘Winning’ Politically; Democrats Feel the Opposite</a> (Pew Research Center)Cornoavirus<a href="https://today.yougov.com/topics/international/articles-reports/2020/02/17/global-attitudes-coronavirus-poll" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">How do Attitudes to Coronavirus Differ Across the World?</a> (YouGov)<a href="https://news.gallup.com/poll/286277/high-confidence-government-handle-coronavirus.aspx" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">High Confidence in Government to Handle Coronavirus</a> (Gallup)Learn more about your ad choices. Visit <a href="https://megaphone.fm/adchoices" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">megaphone.fm/adchoices</a>

Underestimating the Coronavirus?

Democratic National PrimaryDemocratic National Primary (FiveThirtyEight)Sanders Opens Up Double-Digit National Lead in Primary Race (NBC News/WSJ)Sanders Leads The Field, Bloomberg Qualifies For His 1st Debate (NPR/PBS Newshour/Marist)Nevada PrimaryNevada Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight)Sanders Has Strong Lead in Nevada(Data for Progress)South Carolina PrimarySouth Carolina Democratic Primary(FiveThirtyEight)Americans and the ElectionAmericans Generally Upbeat About Election Campaign (Gallup)Faith in Elections in Relatively Short Supply in U.S. (Gallup)Trump Job ApprovalTrump Job Approval (RealClear Politics)National General ElectionNational General Election(RealClear Politics)Bogus RespondentsAssessing the Risks to Online Polls From Bogus Respondents (Pew Research Center)Chucking a Dead ChickenIs Chucking a Dead Chicken a Fun Bar Event or Disrespectful to Animals? (Thorold News)Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Democratic National Primary<a href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/national/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Democratic National Primary</a> (FiveThirtyEight)<a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/meet-the-press/nbc-news-wsj-poll-sanders-opens-double-digit-national-lead-n1138191" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Sanders Opens Up Double-Digit National Lead in Primary Race</a> (NBC News/WSJ)<a href="https://www.npr.org/2020/02/18/806703427/npr-pbs-newshour-marist-poll-sanders-leads-bloomberg-qualifies-for-debate" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Sanders Leads The Field, Bloomberg Qualifies For His 1st Debate</a> (NPR/PBS Newshour/Marist) Nevada Primary<a href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/nevada/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Nevada Democratic Primary</a> (FiveThirtyEight)<a href="https://www.dataforprogress.org/memos/sanders-has-strong-lead-in-nevada" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Sanders Has Strong Lead in Nevada</a>(Data for Progress) South Carolina Primary<a href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/south-carolina/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">South Carolina Democratic Primary</a>(FiveThirtyEight) Americans and the Election<a href="https://news.gallup.com/poll/285857/americans-generally-upbeat-election-campaign.aspx" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Americans Generally Upbeat About Election Campaign</a> (Gallup)<a href="https://news.gallup.com/poll/285608/faith-elections-relatively-short-supply.aspx" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Faith in Elections in Relatively Short Supply in U.S.</a> (Gallup) Trump Job Approval<a href="https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_approval-6179.html" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Trump Job Approval</a> (RealClear Politics) National General Election<a href="https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/general_election/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">National General Election</a>(RealClear Politics) Bogus Respondents<a href="https://www.pewresearch.org/methods/2020/02/18/assessing-the-risks-to-online-polls-from-bogus-respondents/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Assessing the Risks to Online Polls From Bogus Respondents</a> (Pew Research Center) Chucking a Dead Chicken<a href="https://www.thoroldnews.com/local-news/poll-is-chucking-a-dead-chicken-a-fun-bar-event-or-disrespectful-to-animals-2094582" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Is Chucking a Dead Chicken a Fun Bar Event or Disrespectful to Animals?</a> (Thorold News)Learn more about your ad choices. Visit <a href="https://megaphone.fm/adchoices" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">megaphone.fm/adchoices</a>

The Squirrely Race

Democratic PrimaryNational Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight)Who's Ahead in New Hampshire (FiveThirtyEight)Sanders Takes Top Spot In Dem Primary As Biden Falls (Quinnipac)New Hampshire Democratic Primary Exit Poll Results and Analysis (Wash Post)Trump Approval Trump Approval (RealClear Politics)General ElectionTrump vs. Klobucha (RealClear Politics)Most Expect Trump Will Be Reelected (Monmouth)Socialism and Atheism Still U.S. Political Liabilities (Gallup)Impeachment VoteMost Utahns pleased with Mitt Romney’s vote, but 60% of GOP has negative reaction (Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics)Valentine’s DayValentine's Day poll: American's claim this dinner idea is most underrated (Instacart)Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Democratic Primary<a href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/national/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">National Democratic Primary</a> (FiveThirtyEight)<a href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/new-hampshire/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Who's Ahead in New Hampshire</a> (FiveThirtyEight)<a href="https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=3655" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Sanders Takes Top Spot In Dem Primary As Biden Falls</a> (Quinnipac)<a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/politics/exit-polls-2020-new-hampshire-primary/?itid=hp_hp-top-table-main_exit-polls-935pm%3Ahomepage%2Fstory-ans" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">New Hampshire Democratic Primary Exit Poll Results and Analysis</a> (Wash Post)Trump Approval <a href="https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_approval-6179.html" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Trump Approval</a> (RealClear Politics)General Election<a href="https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_klobuchar-6803.html" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Trump vs. Klobucha</a> (RealClear Politics)<a href="https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_us_021120/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Most Expect Trump Will Be Reelected</a> (Monmouth)<a href="https://news.gallup.com/poll/285563/socialism-atheism-political-liabilities.aspx" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Socialism and Atheism Still U.S. Political Liabilities</a> (Gallup)Impeachment Vote<a href="https://www.deseret.com/utah/2020/2/11/21133232/mitt-romney-donald-trump-mitt-impeachment-split-deseret-news-hinckley-poll-convict-divided" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Most Utahns pleased with Mitt Romney’s vote, but 60% of GOP has negative reaction</a> (Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics)Valentine’s Day<a href="https://www.foxnews.com/food-drink/americans-want-this-food-for-valentines-day" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Valentine's Day poll: American's claim this dinner idea is most underrated</a> (Instacart)Learn more about your ad choices. Visit <a href="https://megaphone.fm/adchoices" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">megaphone.fm/adchoices</a>

Don't Eat With Your Hands

On this 5th Anniversary episode, Kristen and Margie are joined by founder of FiveThirtyEight Nate Silver. Nate founded Five Thirty Eight after being tired of the media covering politics with a lack of data.Iowa PrimaryThe three cover the topic of Iowa and how the polls should be looked at along with the actual results in Iowa. Nate breaks down Iowa’s system of using preferences in voting in their primary process and discusses how that makes Iowa difficult to poll.The Des Moines Register, Ann Selzer poll was not published due to an error in polling. However, it was ended up being leaked prior to the Iowa Caucus. Nate believes that human error is a part of anything in life, even polling. In the case of the Ann Selzer poll he believes that the errors in the poll could have been fixed and published at a later date, instead of the chaos that ensued with the errors in the poll due to a tight deadline that was set.Models in PollingA model is a statistical algorithm that produces results. In polling models are statistics that are used to represent the world. Nate discusses the difficulties behind trying to build a model for the entire Democratic Nomination process. He shares that FiveThirtyEight focuses on predicting the outcome and as a result they focus more on topline numbers. The Silent Trump VoteIt has been claimed that silent Trump voters played a role in the 2016 election, Kristen asks Nate if silent or shy Trump voters could play a roll in the upcoming 2020 Presidential election. Find Nate Silver on Twitter @NateSilver538Listen to the FiveThirtyEight Podcast Here!Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

On this 5th Anniversary episode, Kristen and Margie are joined by founder of FiveThirtyEight Nate Silver. Nate founded Five Thirty Eight after being tired of the media covering politics with a lack of data.Iowa PrimaryThe three cover the topic of Iowa and how the polls should be looked at along with the actual results in Iowa. Nate breaks down Iowa’s system of using preferences in voting in their primary process and discusses how that makes Iowa difficult to poll.The Des Moines Register, Ann Selzer poll was not published due to an error in polling. However, it was ended up being leaked prior to the Iowa Caucus. Nate believes that human error is a part of anything in life, even polling. In the case of the Ann Selzer poll he believes that the errors in the poll could have been fixed and published at a later date, instead of the chaos that ensued with the errors in the poll due to a tight deadline that was set.Models in PollingA model is a statistical algorithm that produces results. In polling models are statistics that are used to represent the world. Nate discusses the difficulties behind trying to build a model for the entire Democratic Nomination process. He shares that FiveThirtyEight focuses on predicting the outcome and as a result they focus more on topline numbers. The Silent Trump VoteIt has been claimed that silent Trump voters played a role in the 2016 election, Kristen asks Nate if silent or shy Trump voters could play a roll in the upcoming 2020 Presidential election. Find Nate Silver on Twitter @NateSilver538Listen to the FiveThirtyEight Podcast <a href="https://fivethirtyeight.com/tag/fivethirtyeight-podcasts/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Here</a>!Learn more about your ad choices. Visit <a href="https://megaphone.fm/adchoices" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">megaphone.fm/adchoices</a>

Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight

National Democratic PrimaryNational Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight)2020 Democratic Primary (Morning Consult)Biden and Sanders are breaking away from the pack of candidates among Democrats nationwide (Washington Post/ABC News)Electability in the Democratic Primary Polls (HuffPost/YouGov)Iowa PrimaryIowa Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight)Sanders Seizes Lead in Volatile Iowa Race (New York Times/Siena College)New Hampshire PrimaryNew Hampshire Democratic Primary (FiveThirtyEight)Sanders, Buttigieg top Democratic field in New Hampshire (NBC News/Marist)California PrimaryBernie Sanders grabs lead in California presidential primary (UC Berkeley Institute)Trump Job ApprovalTrump Job Approval (RealClear Politics)Trump ImpeachmentAmericans still divided on Trump’s removal from office (Wash Post/ABC News)General Election: Trump vs Klobuchar (RealClear Politics)Do Americans Support Impeachment? (FiveThirtyEight)Nearly 6 in 10 oppose Trump’s use of executive privilege to muzzle witnesses (Politico)Impeachment Witness Testimony (Quinnipiac)Eating MeatNearly One in Four in U.S. Have Cut Back on Eating Meat (Gallup)Four in 10 Americans Have Eaten Plant-Based Meats (Gallup)Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

National Democratic Primary<a href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/national/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">National Democratic Primary</a> (FiveThirtyEight)<a href="https://morningconsult.com/2020-democratic-primary/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">2020 Democratic Primary</a> (Morning Consult)<a href="https://www.notion.so/Biden-and-Sanders-are-breaking-away-from-the-pack-of-candidates-among-Democrats-nationwide-Washingt-25b2ad33547b42129e687aad44bec8fb" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Biden and Sanders are breaking away from the pack of candidates among Democrats nationwide</a> (Washington Post/ABC News)<a href="https://www.huffpost.com/entry/electability-democratic-primary-polls_n_5e2b47d3c5b67d8874b17936" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Electability in the Democratic Primary Polls</a> (HuffPost/YouGov)Iowa Primary<a href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/iowa/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Iowa Democratic Primary</a> (FiveThirtyEight)<a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/25/us/politics/democratic-iowa-poll-sanders.html" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Sanders Seizes Lead in Volatile Iowa Race</a> (New York Times/Siena College)New Hampshire Primary<a href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/new-hampshire/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">New Hampshire Democratic Primary</a> (FiveThirtyEight)<a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/meet-the-press/poll-sanders-buttigieg-top-democratic-field-new-hampshire-n1122366" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Sanders, Buttigieg top Democratic field in New Hampshire</a> (NBC News/Marist)California Primary<a href="https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2020-01-28/bernie-sanders-grabs-lead-in-california-presidential-primary" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Bernie Sanders grabs lead in California presidential primary</a> (UC Berkeley Institute)Trump Job Approval<a href="https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_approval-6179.html" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Trump Job Approval</a> (RealClear Politics)Trump Impeachment<a href="https://www.notion.so/Americans-still-divided-on-Trump-s-removal-from-office-but-a-strong-economy-is-boosting-his-approva-28b76ae83fe3438c84093768ae4ff5ba" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Americans still divided on Trump’s removal from office</a> (Wash Post/ABC News)<a href="https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_klobuchar-6803.html" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">General Election: Trump vs Klobuchar</a> (RealClear Politics)<a href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/impeachment-polls/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Do Americans Support Impeachment?</a> (FiveThirtyEight)<a href="https://www.politico.com/news/2020/01/29/poll-trump-executive-privilege-witnesses-108235" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Nearly 6 in 10 oppose Trump’s use of executive privilege to muzzle witnesses</a> (Politico)<a href="https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=3654" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Impeachment Witness Testimony</a> (Quinnipiac)Eating Meat<a href="https://news.gallup.com/poll/282779/nearly-one-four-cut-back-eating-meat.aspx" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Nearly One in Four in U.S. Have Cut Back on Eating Meat</a> (Gallup)<a href="https://news.gallup.com/poll/282989/four-americans-eaten-plant-based-meats.aspx" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Four in 10 Americans Have Eaten Plant-Based Meats</a> (Gallup)Learn more about your ad choices. Visit <a href="https://megaphone.fm/adchoices" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">megaphone.fm/adchoices</a>

Iowa is the Big Game

Politics. Policy. Polling. Pop Culture.Explore what America's thinking with two of the country's leading pollsters-the bipartisan team of Democrat Margie Omero and Republican Kristen Soltis Anderson. In this weekly podcast we take a fresh, friendly look at the numbers driving the week's biggest stories in news, politics, tech, entertainment and pop culture. Along with the occasional interview with pollsters, journalists, and other industry leaders, we'll lift the hood on the numbers revealing the hidden secrets of the public's mind.

Just what our political discussion needs.

Balanced thoughtful and Civilized

Great personalities! Informative breakdown of polls

Love it!

Politics. Policy. Polling. Pop Culture. Explore what America's thinking with two of the country's leading pollsters-the bipartisan team of Democrat Margie Omero and Republican Kristen Soltis Anderson. In this weekly podcast we take a fresh, friendly look at the numbers driving the week's biggest stories in news, politics, tech, entertainment and pop culture. Along with the occasional interview with pollsters, journalists, and other industry leaders, we'll lift the hood on the numbers revealing the hidden secrets of the public's mind.

The Pollsters

Poll of the Week: Axios/ SurveyMonkey Poll “Democrats’ Senate dreams slip away”Survey Monkey write-up: “Senate battleground polls show Democrats in a tight spot”Criticism: Nate Silver (Twitter): The Axios treatment of this poll is basically "How to repeat all the errors the media made when covering polls in 2016, in one chart". But wait until we focus on likely voters.Changing view of SCOTUSPew Research  Interpreting Constitution in current times vs Originalists. Are these questions answered by what view will produce the political outcome respondents want? In a vacuum? Growing share of Americans say Supreme Court should base its rulings on what Constitution means today5 facts about the Supreme CourtAmerican Voters Support Roe V. Wade 2-1, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds;Dem Candidates Up 9 Points In U.S. House RacesRoe v Wade and abortionSo many ways to ask the question. Pretty clear majorities say don’t overturn. Pollsters can frame questions to take advantage of affirmation bias.What the polls say about Americans, abortion, and the Supreme Court There are so many other issues beyond Roe.How will this influence people’s midterm votes?Democrats hope Kennedy’s retirement will make the courts a galvanizing issue for their votersPolling data shows Republicans turned out for Trump in 2016 because of the Supreme CourtA quarter of Republicans voted for Trump to get Supreme Court picks — and it paid off2018 Generic Congressional Vote Trump Job ApprovalAmericans Are Having Fewer Babies. They Told Us Why.It’s not that they’re selfish, they just can’t afford it.  Where is infertility on this list?POLL: Did you make it out to see fireworks this Fourth of July holiday? We want our fireworks in our backyard or in the supreme court debate.Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Poll of the Week: Axios/ SurveyMonkey Poll <a href="https://www.axios.com/poll-democrats-2018-midterms-senate-5eb4075f-4325-46aa-bda5-699b814d9dd7.html" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">“Democrats’ Senate dreams slip away”</a>Survey Monkey write-up: “<a href="https://www.surveymonkey.com/curiosity/senate-battleground-polls-show-democrats-in-a-tight-spot/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Senate battleground polls show Democrats in a tight spot</a>”Criticism: <a href="https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1016683927774384129" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Nate Silver (Twitter): The Axios treatment of this poll is basically "How to repeat all the errors the media made when covering polls in 2016, in one chart".</a> But wait until we focus on likely voters.Changing view of SCOTUSPew Research  Interpreting Constitution in current times vs Originalists. Are these questions answered by what view will produce the political outcome respondents want? In a vacuum? <a href="http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2018/05/11/growing-share-of-americans-say-supreme-court-should-base-its-rulings-on-what-constitution-means-today/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Growing share of Americans say Supreme Court should base its rulings on what Constitution means today</a><a href="http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2018/06/12/5-facts-about-the-supreme-court/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">5 facts about the Supreme Court</a><a href="https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/us/us07022018_uixs04.pdf/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">American Voters Support Roe V. Wade 2-1, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds;</a>Dem Candidates Up 9 Points In U.S. House RacesRoe v Wade and abortionSo many ways to ask the question. Pretty clear majorities say don’t overturn. Pollsters can frame questions to take advantage of affirmation bias.<a href="https://www.vox.com/2018/7/9/17525410/polls-abortion-roe-v-wade-supreme-court" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">What the polls say about Americans, abortion, and the Supreme Court</a> There are so many other issues beyond Roe.How will this influence people’s midterm votes?<a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/amphtml/politics/democrats-hope-kennedys-retirement-will-make-the-courts-a-galvanizing-issue-for-their-voters/2018/07/06/b47bb552-7f45-11e8-b9f0-61b08cdd0ea1_story.html?__twitter_impression=true&amp;noredirect=on" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Democrats hope Kennedy’s retirement will make the courts a galvanizing issue for their voters</a><a href="https://www.vox.com/2018/6/29/17511088/scotus-2016-election-poll-trump-republicans-kennedy-retire" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Polling data shows Republicans turned out for Trump in 2016 because of the Supreme Court</a><a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/politics/wp/2018/06/26/a-quarter-of-republicans-voted-for-trump-to-get-supreme-court-picks-and-it-paid-off/?noredirect=on&amp;utm_term=.775fc16d856d" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">A quarter of Republicans voted for Trump to get Supreme Court picks — and it paid off</a><a href="https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2018_generic_congressional_vote-6185.html" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">2018 Generic Congressional Vote</a> <a href="http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/trump-job-approval" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Trump Job Approval</a><a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2018/07/05/upshot/americans-are-having-fewer-babies-they-told-us-why.html?fallback=1&amp;recId=177iDzyEEHjxPUF2dq42eaZ7uBW&amp;geoContinent=NA&amp;geoRegion=NY&amp;recAlloc=random&amp;geoCountry=US&amp;blockId=signature-journalism-vi&amp;action=click&amp;module=" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Americans Are Having Fewer Babies. They Told Us Why.</a>It’s not that they’re selfish, they just can’t afford it.  Where is infertility on this list?<a href="https://nbc25news.com/news/local/poll-did-you-make-it-out-to-see-fireworks-this-fourth-of-july-holiday" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">POLL: Did you make it out to see fireworks this Fourth of July holiday?</a> We want our fireworks in our backyard or in the supreme court debate.Learn more about your ad choices. Visit <a href="https://megaphone.fm/adchoices" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">megaphone.fm/adchoices</a>

#172: SCOTUS, You're a Firecracker, Baby

Midterm mania: OH-12, KS, and the genericEverything You Need To Know About The Ohio 12th Special ElectionRCP Average. Emerson memo. Monmouth Crosstabs. GBA Memo 7/262018 Generic Congressional VotePresident Trump Job ApprovalTrump defectors! You might be surprised how FEW there are…Pew: For Most Trump Voters, “Very Warm” Feelings for him Endured [EMBARGOED LINK]War with the media rages onwardRepublicans: Give Trump the Power to Shut Down Media This is not new.Ipsos Poll on Sentiment Towards American MediaEverybody colludes. Don’t they?40% of Republicans say Russia election meddling isn't a big deal Trump Jr.’s Meeting Was Wrong, Americans Say, But Fewer See It As Out Of The NormLocal food!Americans Still Favor Beer Over Other Alcoholic Beverages Snapshot: Few Americans Vegetarian or VeganMost Americans Try to Eat Locally Grown FoodsLearn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Midterm mania: OH-12, KS, and the generic<a href="https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/everything-you-need-to-know-about-the-ohio-12th-special-election/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Everything You Need To Know About The Ohio 12th Special Election</a><a href="https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/house/oh/ohio_12th_district_special_election_balderson_vs_oconnor-6594.html" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">RCP Average</a>. <a href="https://www.emerson.edu/sites/default/files/Files/Academics/ecp-oh12-8.5.18.pdf" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Emerson memo</a>. <a href="https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_oh_080118.pdf/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Monmouth Crosstabs</a>. <a href="https://www.scribd.com/document/384784512/OH-12-GBA-Strategies-for-Danny-O-Connor-July-2018" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">GBA Memo 7/26</a><a href="https://realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2018_generic_congressional_vote-6185.html" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">2018 </a>Generic Congressional Vote<a href="https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_approval-6179.html" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">President Trump Job Approval</a>Trump defectors! You might be surprised how FEW there are…Pew: For Most Trump Voters, “Very Warm” Feelings for him Endured [EMBARGOED LINK]War with the media rages onward<a href="https://amp.thedailybeast.com/new-poll-43-of-republicans-want-to-give-trump-the-power-to-shut-down-media?source=twitter&amp;via=desktop&amp;__twitter_impression=true" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Republicans: Give Trump the Power to Shut Down Media</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/aedwardslevy/status/1026890491063926786" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">This is not new</a>.<a href="https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2018-08/media_trust_topline_080618.pdf" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Ipsos Poll on Sentiment Towards American Media</a>Everybody colludes. Don’t they?<a href="https://finance.yahoo.com/news/republicans-want-russia-influence-us-elections-202847050.html" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">40% of Republicans say Russia election meddling isn't a big deal</a> <a href="https://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/americans-think-trump-jrs-meeting-was-wrong-but-fewer-are-sure-its-out-of-the-norm_us_596fc425e4b062ea5f8eecb6" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Trump Jr.’s Meeting Was Wrong, Americans Say, But Fewer See It As Out Of The Norm</a>Local food!<a href="https://news.gallup.com/poll/238100/americans-favor-beer-alcoholic-beverages.aspx?g_source=link_NEWSV9&amp;g_medium=NEWSFEED&amp;g_campaign=item_&amp;g_content=Americans%2520Still%2520Favor%2520Beer%2520Over%2520Other%2520Alcoholic%2520Beverages" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Americans Still Favor Beer Over Other Alcoholic Beverages</a> <a href="https://news.gallup.com/poll/238328/snapshot-few-americans-vegetarian-vegan.aspx?g_source=link_NEWSV9&amp;g_medium=TOPIC&amp;g_campaign=item_&amp;g_content=Snapshot%3a%2520Few%2520Americans%2520Vegetarian%2520or%2520Vegan" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Snapshot: Few Americans Vegetarian or Vegan</a><a href="https://news.gallup.com/poll/240515/americans-try-eat-locally-grown-foods.aspx?g_source=link_NEWSV9&amp;g_medium=NEWSFEED&amp;g_campaign=item_&amp;g_content=Most%2520Americans%2520Try%2520to%2520Eat%2520Locally%2520Grown%2520Foods" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Most Americans Try to Eat Locally Grown Foods</a>Learn more about your ad choices. Visit <a href="https://megaphone.fm/adchoices" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">megaphone.fm/adchoices</a>

#176: Red Vs. Blue. Beer Vs. Wine

Dialing in from the road: Kristen on her hometown Orlando. Margie on her pet issues of LGBT rights and stronger gun laws. Can this year get any crazier? Polling suggests maybe not.   Orlando’s implications on gun laws, threat of terrorism, and LGBT safe spaces We try to make sense of the gun polling--views on terrorism, on an assault weapon ban, and more.   Margie’s picks on how to take action on Orlando  Bloomberg Politics National Poll  CBS News poll  YouGov poll post San Bernardino  YouGov poll just before Orlando  Pew Research poll on religion and support of LGBT rights  Quinnipiac poll on gun laws  Pew on guns  Gallup on terrorism  Gallup on terrorism &amp; guns    A bad week for Trump Trump’s had a terrible time in the news this past week. And voters seem to be moving away from him.   Real Clear Politics average  NBC News poll  Yougov/Huffington Post poll with open ends on the candidates  Trump thinks he discovered polling  Confidence gap What’s this newspaper thing of which you speak?   Gallup poll shows low confidence in newspapers  Harvard Study of media coverage of the 2016 election    From the department of sports Hockey fans are different than basketball fans. And Philly Phanatic fans are different from everyone.   YouGov poll on NHL vs NBA fans  Public Policy Polling on the Phanatic    Key findings:  Take some time this week to not only think about the tragedy in Orlando, but about gun violence prevention--all of it. What are you doing this week to reduce gun deaths? At the pollsters, we’ve always known the polls were a big deal, and we value the press--but perhaps we’re alone? Whether you’re a Phillie Phanatic fanatic or an extroverted hockey fan, you probably think this election is crazy--and that’s putting it nicely. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dialing in from the road: Kristen on her hometown Orlando. Margie on her pet issues of LGBT rights and stronger gun laws. Can this year get any crazier? Polling suggests maybe not.   Orlando’s implications on gun laws, threat of terrorism, and LGBT safe spaces We try to make sense of the gun polling--views on terrorism, on an assault weapon ban, and more. Margie’s picks on how to take action on Orlando Bloomberg Politics National Poll CBS News poll YouGov poll post San Bernardino YouGov poll just before Orlando Pew Research poll on religion and support of LGBT rights Quinnipiac poll on gun laws Pew on guns Gallup on terrorism Gallup on terrorism &amp; guns   A bad week for Trump Trump’s had a terrible time in the news this past week. And voters seem to be moving away from him. Real Clear Politics average NBC News poll Yougov/Huffington Post poll with open ends on the candidates Trump thinks he discovered polling Confidence gap What’s this newspaper thing of which you speak? Gallup poll shows low confidence in newspapers Harvard Study of media coverage of the 2016 election   From the department of sports Hockey fans are different than basketball fans. And Philly Phanatic fans are different from everyone. YouGov poll on NHL vs NBA fans Public Policy Polling on the Phanatic   Key findings: Take some time this week to not only think about the tragedy in Orlando, but about gun violence prevention--all of it. What are you doing this week to reduce gun deaths? At the pollsters, we’ve always known the polls were a big deal, and we value the press--but perhaps we’re alone? Whether you’re a Phillie Phanatic fanatic or an extroverted hockey fan, you probably think this election is crazy--and that’s putting it nicely. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit <a href="https://megaphone.fm/adchoices" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">megaphone.fm/adchoices</a>

#69: We love you Orlando

So glad you guys liked our interview with Ron Brownstein--we did too! Also, we have 96 reviews, can we get to a nice round 100? You can write a review on iTunes or Stitcher, and follow us on Twitter and Facebook to see all the polls we're looking at each week.   Poll of the week: DC Insiders, they’re just like us! Hey, how come we didn’t get called?   Examiner-Echelon Insider poll    2016 The landslide got you down? Well, must be those trash-can polls.   Huffington Post/Pollster 2-way  Huffington Post/Pollster 3-way  NYT/Upshot on 2016  WashPost on Trump's chance  NYT/Upshot what a Clinton landslide would look like  WashPost on Gallup study  Gallup study on what predicts Trump support  NBC/Marist battleground state polls  FiveThirtyEight senate polls  USA Today/RTV on Millennials    Next up: debates The debates are coming, and voters already have some preferences.   Pew on debate topics  Fix The Debates &amp; IQUS    Get ready to go back to work everyone: Jobs Are you on vacation, or wrapping up a summer job? Margie &amp; Kristen had some formative jobs that we relive in real-time.   Gallup on women and jobs  FiveThirtyEight and summer jobs  Most popular industries    Key Findings:  This is election is so crazy, it’s even making Kristen angry. That’s tough y’all! Where does pollster rate on top industries? What about twitter troll? What about podcast guest-host? And don’t let the landslide get you down. Not with so many podcasts to catch up on.   Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

So glad you guys liked our interview with Ron Brownstein--we did too! Also, we have 96 reviews, can we get to a nice round 100? You can write a review on iTunes or Stitcher, and follow us on Twitter and Facebook to see all the polls we're looking at each week.   Poll of the week: DC Insiders, they’re just like us! Hey, how come we didn’t get called? Examiner-Echelon Insider poll   2016 The landslide got you down? Well, must be those trash-can polls. Huffington Post/Pollster 2-way Huffington Post/Pollster 3-way NYT/Upshot on 2016 WashPost on Trump's chance NYT/Upshot what a Clinton landslide would look like WashPost on Gallup study Gallup study on what predicts Trump support NBC/Marist battleground state polls FiveThirtyEight senate polls USA Today/RTV on Millennials   Next up: debates The debates are coming, and voters already have some preferences. Pew on debate topics Fix The Debates &amp; IQUS   Get ready to go back to work everyone: Jobs Are you on vacation, or wrapping up a summer job? Margie &amp; Kristen had some formative jobs that we relive in real-time. Gallup on women and jobs FiveThirtyEight and summer jobs Most popular industries   Key Findings: This is election is so crazy, it’s even making Kristen angry. That’s tough y’all! Where does pollster rate on top industries? What about twitter troll? What about podcast guest-host? And don’t let the landslide get you down. Not with so many podcasts to catch up on.   Learn more about your ad choices. Visit <a href="https://megaphone.fm/adchoices" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">megaphone.fm/adchoices</a>

#77: The landslide bringing you down?

Scott Keeter

Thanks for the great shoutouts all over the Internet. Next micro-assignment: tweet us or post on our FB page your polling 101 questions for an evergreen explainer episode we’re working on. We're @thepollsters both on Facebook &amp; Twitter.Poll of the week: Gig this!One fifth of Americans say they’re giggers in some way. Kristen &amp; Margie have their own favorites.Time Magazine Gig poll2016: It’s getting hot in Iowa!The Dem side in Iowa went from snoozeville to snowplow. What does that mean? You’ll have to listen.Huffington Post/Pollster trackingARG poll of DemsQuinnipiac IA poll NBC/WSJ/Marist pollMonmouth Poll/NHWashington Post on electabilityWashington Post on electability (2)Bloomberg tests the watersGallup on independentsGun politics. How did we get here?We haven’t talked about guns on the show for a while, but there’s been no shortage of gun polling, or gun tragedies. Margie has a new piece at Huffington Post. “A partisan culture, not a gun culture”We talk to Scott Keeter: Pew Survey Director. Optimist.Scott Keeter is a loyal listener! So we’re excited to talk to him about his new report on improving likely voter models. Can likely voter models be improved?And just as we were reaching peak TV.We like TV. But do we want to say we like TV? Gallup has some tracking. Meanwhile, it’s never too early to talk about next year’s Golden Globes!Gallup tracking on way to spend an eveningNext year's Golden GlobesKey findings:2016 is still going strong! Margie’s conquering her resolutions, we have an exciting race on both D/R sides, new friends &amp; listeners, and Pew has given us a lot of new data and analysis to make us optimistic about the industry.But partisan divisions still there--and that, as opposed to gun ownership, seems to be what’s driving views toward gun laws.At time of peak tv, people don’t want to say they want to watch TV. But they do want more Amy Schumer &amp; Jennifer Lawrence.Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Thanks for the great shoutouts all over the Internet. Next micro-assignment: tweet us or post on our FB page your polling 101 questions for an evergreen explainer episode we’re working on. We're @thepollsters both on Facebook &amp; Twitter. Poll of the week: Gig this! One fifth of Americans say they’re giggers in some way. Kristen &amp; Margie have their own favorites. Time Magazine Gig poll 2016: It’s getting hot in Iowa! The Dem side in Iowa went from snoozeville to snowplow. What does that mean? You’ll have to listen. Huffington Post/Pollster tracking ARG poll of Dems Quinnipiac IA poll NBC/WSJ/Marist poll Monmouth Poll/NH Washington Post on electability Washington Post on electability (2) Bloomberg tests the waters Gallup on independents Gun politics. How did we get here? We haven’t talked about guns on the show for a while, but there’s been no shortage of gun polling, or gun tragedies. Margie has a new piece at Huffington Post. “A partisan culture, not a gun culture” We talk to Scott Keeter: Pew Survey Director. Optimist. Scott Keeter is a loyal listener! So we’re excited to talk to him about his new report on improving likely voter models. Can likely voter models be improved? And just as we were reaching peak TV. We like TV. But do we want to say we like TV? Gallup has some tracking. Meanwhile, it’s never too early to talk about next year’s Golden Globes! Gallup tracking on way to spend an evening Next year's Golden Globes Key findings: 2016 is still going strong! Margie’s conquering her resolutions, we have an exciting race on both D/R sides, new friends &amp; listeners, and Pew has given us a lot of new data and analysis to make us optimistic about the industry. But partisan divisions still there--and that, as opposed to gun ownership, seems to be what’s driving views toward gun laws. At time of peak tv, people don’t want to say they want to watch TV. But they do want more Amy Schumer &amp; Jennifer Lawrence. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit <a href="https://megaphone.fm/adchoices" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">megaphone.fm/adchoices</a>

#47: It's hot in Iowa! And Scott Keeter from Pew

Our Ron Brownstein interview is the top-downloaded interview we’ve ever done. Thanks everyone! But don’t make our Chuck Todd &amp; Charlie Cook interviews jealous--they are #39 &amp; #44, respectively, if you want to go back &amp; take a listen. (Gotta catch em all.) And as always you can write a review on  iTunes or Stitcher, and follow us on Twitter and Facebook to see all the polls we're looking at each week.   Poll of the week: All of them. We have a new thing, the Brianna Keilar award for Truth Telling in Polls. It belongs to [dramatic pause…]   Brianna Keilar &amp; Michael Cohen "Says who?"  WP on why you need to follow The Polls. All of them.  Politico on poll deniers after Patrick Murray  Trump sand attacks! This is what actual fake research looks like (Triumph the Insult Comic Dog)    Process front &amp; center. Never mind the issues when there is palace intrigue, rigged polls, and rigged polling booths!   HP on Kellyanne Conway behind the scenes  HP on Kellyanne Conway on secret Trump voters  HP on YouGov poll on Trump campaign operation  Gallup shows worry about vote fraud  Pew on vote fraud worries    2016 Oh, the polls. Still bad news for Trump, with a few tiny exceptions.   http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster#2016-general-election  LA Times poll  HP/David Rothschild on LA Times poll  Trump loves LA Times poll!  NBC/Survey Monkey on military families    Burning down the House! And the Senate! One battleground state at a time! Is it too late to turn the R next to your name on the ballot to some sort of emoji?   Larry Sabato on the Senate Charlie Cook on the Senate  HP averages for the Senate  HP generic ballot  Daily 202 &amp; Rothenberg on House landscape    Time to get out of dodge, wherever that is You know where the Statue of Liberty is. But how about the Grand Canyon?   Conde Nast Traveler poll   Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Our Ron Brownstein interview is the top-downloaded interview we’ve ever done. Thanks everyone! But don’t make our Chuck Todd &amp; Charlie Cook interviews jealous--they are #39 &amp; #44, respectively, if you want to go back &amp; take a listen. (Gotta catch em all.) And as always you can write a review on iTunes or Stitcher, and follow us on Twitter and Facebook to see all the polls we're looking at each week.   Poll of the week: All of them. We have a new thing, the Brianna Keilar award for Truth Telling in Polls. It belongs to [dramatic pause…] Brianna Keilar &amp; Michael Cohen "Says who?" WP on why you need to follow The Polls. All of them. Politico on poll deniers after Patrick Murray Trump sand attacks! This is what actual fake research looks like (Triumph the Insult Comic Dog)   Process front &amp; center. Never mind the issues when there is palace intrigue, rigged polls, and rigged polling booths! HP on Kellyanne Conway behind the scenes HP on Kellyanne Conway on secret Trump voters HP on YouGov poll on Trump campaign operation Gallup shows worry about vote fraud Pew on vote fraud worries   2016 Oh, the polls. Still bad news for Trump, with a few tiny exceptions. <a href="http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster#2016-general-election" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster#2016-general-election</a> LA Times poll HP/David Rothschild on LA Times poll Trump loves LA Times poll! NBC/Survey Monkey on military families   Burning down the House! And the Senate! One battleground state at a time! Is it too late to turn the R next to your name on the ballot to some sort of emoji? Larry Sabato on the Senate Charlie Cook on the Senate HP averages for the Senate HP generic ballot Daily 202 &amp; Rothenberg on House landscape   Time to get out of dodge, wherever that is You know where the Statue of Liberty is. But how about the Grand Canyon? Conde Nast Traveler poll   Learn more about your ad choices. Visit <a href="https://megaphone.fm/adchoices" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">megaphone.fm/adchoices</a>

#78: Says who? The Pollsters. Both of us.

Courtney Kennedy is the new director of Survey Research at Pew Research Center. When other pollsters and partisans looked at the 2000 exit poll craziness with shock and excitement/despair, Courtney thought "that's so cool!" We talk to her about some of the great experiments Pew is cooking up. Follow Pew here. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Courtney Kennedy is the new director of Survey Research at Pew Research Center. When other pollsters and partisans looked at the 2000 exit poll craziness with shock and excitement/despair, Courtney thought "that's so cool!" We talk to her about some of the great experiments Pew is cooking up. Follow Pew here.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit <a href="https://megaphone.fm/adchoices" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">megaphone.fm/adchoices</a>

#68i: Courtney Kennedy from Pew

Margie has a new gig, got into a friendly disagreement with Mark Penn &amp; dressed as the Gender Avenger. No wonder she’s tired. For more alert analysis follow @ksoltisanderson @margieomero @thepollsters.Margie's new gig!http://www.gbastrategies.com/margie-omero-joins-gba/The Trolley Problemhttps://twitter.com/aedwardslevy?lang=enCato Funhttps://www.cato.org/survey-reports/state-free-speech-tolerance-americaTrumplandiahttp://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/trump-job-approvalWaPo/UMDhttps://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/polling/washington-postuniversity-maryland-democracy-poll-sept/2017/10/28/103b9f34-bbd7-11e7-9b93-b97043e57a22_page.htmlVirginia GovPolitico Articlehttps://www.politico.com/story/2017/10/31/virginia-governors-polling-northam-gillespie-244362Polling averageshttps://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2017/governor/va/virginia_governor_gillespie_vs_northam-6197.htmlWashington Post &amp; race in Virginia Govhttps://www.washingtonpost.com/page/2010-2019/WashingtonPost/2017/10/27/National-Politics/Polling/release_498.xmlAbortionhttps://view.publitas.com/perryundem-research-communication/re-examining-polling-on-abortion/page/10Harassmenthttps://www.nbcnews.com/politics/first-read/nbc-wsj-poll-nearly-half-working-women-say-they-ve-n815376You know you want more Halloween pollinghttps://nrf.com/media/press-releases/halloween-spending-reach-record-91-billionLearn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Margie has a new gig, got into a friendly disagreement with Mark Penn &amp; dressed as the Gender Avenger. No wonder she’s tired. For more alert analysis follow @ksoltisanderson @margieomero @thepollsters. Margie's new gig! <a href="http://www.gbastrategies.com/margie-omero-joins-gba/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://www.gbastrategies.com/margie-omero-joins-gba/</a> The Trolley Problem <a href="https://twitter.com/aedwardslevy?lang=en" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://twitter.com/aedwardslevy?lang=en</a> Cato Fun <a href="https://www.cato.org/survey-reports/state-free-speech-tolerance-america" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://www.cato.org/survey-reports/state-free-speech-tolerance-america</a> Trumplandia <a href="http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/trump-job-approval" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/trump-job-approval</a> WaPo/UMD <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/polling/washington-postuniversity-maryland-democracy-poll-sept/2017/10/28/103b9f34-bbd7-11e7-9b93-b97043e57a22_page.html" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/polling/washington-postuniversity-maryland-democracy-poll-sept/2017/10/28/103b9f34-bbd7-11e7-9b93-b97043e57a22_page.html</a> Virginia Gov Politico Article <a href="https://www.politico.com/story/2017/10/31/virginia-governors-polling-northam-gillespie-244362" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://www.politico.com/story/2017/10/31/virginia-governors-polling-northam-gillespie-244362</a> Polling averages <a href="https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2017/governor/va/virginia_governor_gillespie_vs_northam-6197.html" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2017/governor/va/virginia_governor_gillespie_vs_northam-6197.html</a> Washington Post &amp; race in Virginia Gov <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/page/2010-2019/WashingtonPost/2017/10/27/National-Politics/Polling/release_498.xml" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://www.washingtonpost.com/page/2010-2019/WashingtonPost/2017/10/27/National-Politics/Polling/release_498.xml</a> Abortion <a href="https://view.publitas.com/perryundem-research-communication/re-examining-polling-on-abortion/page/10" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://view.publitas.com/perryundem-research-communication/re-examining-polling-on-abortion/page/10</a> Harassment <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/first-read/nbc-wsj-poll-nearly-half-working-women-say-they-ve-n815376" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/first-read/nbc-wsj-poll-nearly-half-working-women-say-they-ve-n815376</a> You know you want more Halloween polling <a href="https://nrf.com/media/press-releases/halloween-spending-reach-record-91-billion" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://nrf.com/media/press-releases/halloween-spending-reach-record-91-billion</a>Learn more about your ad choices. Visit <a href="https://megaphone.fm/adchoices" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">megaphone.fm/adchoices</a>

#139: Margie Has A New Gig (11/1/17)

Ted Cruz

Welcome back everyone! Hello Canadian fans! And everyone start looking for Kristen’s new column &amp; web show at The Washington Examiner. Poll of the week: An Extended Pollster PlanPew will call 75% cells for 2016! This is big news.Pew announcement on cell phones2016: Cruz draws Trump out of his shell. Democratic field unchanged.How is the Republican primary like Margie’s Christmas vacation? Has Trump hit a ceiling in New Hampshire? Field poll in CANYT Upshot/Civis poll and analysisHuffington Post/pollsters trend chartsAnger ManagementEsquire, Survey Monkey &amp; NBC partnered for this latest study about the angry electorate. Interesting concept. Did they get to the bottom of it? We discuss.Esquire Angry ElectorateGallup: Government #1 problemA poll of pollstersFive Thirty Eight did a poll of pollsters, which makes us wonder, what criteria should we use to define the polling industry? Five Thirty Eight: Most pollsters say their reputation has worsenedYou say you don’t want a resolutionMost people are not making resolutions this year. But Kristen &amp; Margie aren’t like most people.Marist poll on resolutionsThe life changing magic of tidying upKey findingsLess than a month &amp; probably a zillion polls to go before voting begins in Iowa. As the rest of the GOP field scrambles, Trump continues to dominate. Especially with the crucial non-voting, Democratic-registered Republican bloc.Whether it’s racial tensions, guns, government dysfunction, income inequality, voters are angry about a lot of different things, but expect all candidates to try to harness that anger this year.If you’re cell phone is ringing &amp; you’re not sure who is calling, pick up! It might be Pew Research.If you’re reluctant to make a New Year’s resolution, how about one to share some love for the pollsters on Twitter or Facebook, with an iTunes review, at earbud.fm, or in the coments at gofugyourself.Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Welcome back everyone! Hello Canadian fans! And everyone start looking for Kristen’s new column &amp; web show at The Washington Examiner. Poll of the week: An Extended Pollster Plan Pew will call 75% cells for 2016! This is big news. Pew announcement on cell phones 2016: Cruz draws Trump out of his shell. Democratic field unchanged. How is the Republican primary like Margie’s Christmas vacation? Has Trump hit a ceiling in New Hampshire? Field poll in CA NYT Upshot/Civis poll and analysis Huffington Post/pollsters trend charts Anger Management Esquire, Survey Monkey &amp; NBC partnered for this latest study about the angry electorate. Interesting concept. Did they get to the bottom of it? We discuss. Esquire Angry Electorate Gallup: Government #1 problem A poll of pollsters Five Thirty Eight did a poll of pollsters, which makes us wonder, what criteria should we use to define the polling industry? Five Thirty Eight: Most pollsters say their reputation has worsened You say you don’t want a resolution Most people are not making resolutions this year. But Kristen &amp; Margie aren’t like most people. Marist poll on resolutions The life changing magic of tidying up Key findings Less than a month &amp; probably a zillion polls to go before voting begins in Iowa. As the rest of the GOP field scrambles, Trump continues to dominate. Especially with the crucial non-voting, Democratic-registered Republican bloc. Whether it’s racial tensions, guns, government dysfunction, income inequality, voters are angry about a lot of different things, but expect all candidates to try to harness that anger this year. If you’re cell phone is ringing &amp; you’re not sure who is calling, pick up! It might be Pew Research. If you’re reluctant to make a New Year’s resolution, how about one to share some love for the pollsters on Twitter or Facebook, with an iTunes review, at <a href="http://earbud.fm" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">earbud.fm</a>, or in the coments at gofugyourself. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit <a href="https://megaphone.fm/adchoices" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">megaphone.fm/adchoices</a>

#46: Cell phones, Ted Cruz, anger management & New Year's resolutions

If the news is getting you down, take a moment to stop &amp; smell the flowers. &amp; then tweet us @ksoltisanderson, @margieomero or @thepollsters.Poll of the WeekDelphi Analytica: Kid Rock wins in hypothetical Stabenow/Kid Rock Senate racehttp://bit.ly/2eLUWAdVirginia GovernorChange Research: While Perriello has a clear lead in the VA Democratic Primary, Gillespie’s lead banks on Republicans turning up to vote.http://bit.ly/2tJQuIU Monmouth University: Voters are split on electing Gillespie and Northam for VA Governorhttp://wapo.st/2uREk05This Week in TrumpHuffPost: Trump Approval Ratingshttp://bit.ly/2jBmTwz Politico: Tool estimates how voter groups impact Trump’s approval ratinghttp://politi.co/2eMkQUw USA Today/iMediaEthics: Voters split on if Trump should be removed from officehttps://usat.ly/2tT9NLn   Politico: National Tracking Poll July 20-24, 2017http://politi.co/2vXcsoH PartisanshipPew Research: Women see increased involvement in politics after the 2016 electionhttp://pewrsr.ch/2vFUve9 HealthcarePolitico/Morning Consult: Majority favor necessary changes to the ACA to prevent failure, and oppose a straight repealhttp://politi.co/2tXgEn4 News QuizPew: Quiz tests your “News IQ”http://pewrsr.ch/1fCQXti Pew: “News IQ” Quiz Results Breakdownhttp://pewrsr.ch/2uVZfiAWine vs. BeerGallup: Beer remains the prefered alcoholic drink of the United Stateshttp://bit.ly/2tXtBx3 Gallup: The number of Americans who say they have tried pot is at a record highhttp://bit.ly/2tJvWAp Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

If the news is getting you down, take a moment to stop &amp; smell the flowers. &amp; then tweet us @ksoltisanderson, @margieomero or @thepollsters. Poll of the Week Delphi Analytica: Kid Rock wins in hypothetical Stabenow/Kid Rock Senate race <a href="http://bit.ly/2eLUWAd" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://bit.ly/2eLUWAd</a> Virginia Governor Change Research: While Perriello has a clear lead in the VA Democratic Primary, Gillespie’s lead banks on Republicans turning up to vote. <a href="http://bit.ly/2tJQuIU" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://bit.ly/2tJQuIU</a> Monmouth University: Voters are split on electing Gillespie and Northam for VA Governor <a href="http://wapo.st/2uREk05" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://wapo.st/2uREk05</a> This Week in Trump HuffPost: Trump Approval Ratings <a href="http://bit.ly/2jBmTwz" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://bit.ly/2jBmTwz</a> Politico: Tool estimates how voter groups impact Trump’s approval rating <a href="http://politi.co/2eMkQUw" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://politi.co/2eMkQUw</a> USA Today/iMediaEthics: Voters split on if Trump should be removed from office <a href="https://usat.ly/2tT9NLn" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://usat.ly/2tT9NLn</a> Politico: National Tracking Poll July 20-24, 2017 <a href="http://politi.co/2vXcsoH" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://politi.co/2vXcsoH</a> Partisanship Pew Research: Women see increased involvement in politics after the 2016 election <a href="http://pewrsr.ch/2vFUve9" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://pewrsr.ch/2vFUve9</a> Healthcare Politico/Morning Consult: Majority favor necessary changes to the ACA to prevent failure, and oppose a straight repeal <a href="http://politi.co/2tXgEn4" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://politi.co/2tXgEn4</a> News Quiz Pew: Quiz tests your “News IQ” <a href="http://pewrsr.ch/1fCQXti" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://pewrsr.ch/1fCQXti</a> Pew: “News IQ” Quiz Results Breakdown <a href="http://pewrsr.ch/2uVZfiA" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://pewrsr.ch/2uVZfiA</a> Wine vs. Beer Gallup: Beer remains the prefered alcoholic drink of the United States <a href="http://bit.ly/2tXtBx3" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://bit.ly/2tXtBx3</a> Gallup: The number of Americans who say they have tried pot is at a record high <a href="http://bit.ly/2tJvWAp" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://bit.ly/2tJvWAp</a> Learn more about your ad choices. Visit <a href="https://megaphone.fm/adchoices" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">megaphone.fm/adchoices</a>

#127: Take Time To Stop And Smell The Polls

Poll of the week:WP/ABC poll on the Democratic advantage in the midtermsPresident Trump:Job ApprovalGeneric BallotBrett Kavanaugh (last name sung to the tune of Van Halen’s “Panama”):Fox News PollCNN PollWPA Intelligence MemoPress Freedom:Building a Narrative Toward Trust: Echelon Insights + Greenberg Quinlan RosnerKFF Poll on corruption, healthcare, and the most important issue of the campaignsNotre Dame and Michigan are Trash (not really, everyone hates Alabama)Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Poll of the week:<a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/poll-democrats-regain-clear-advantage-in-midterms-shaping-up-as-referendum-on-president-trump/2018/09/03/b47be106-aefe-11e8-a20b-5f4f84429666_story.html?utm_term=.2e41168635e5" rel="nofollow" target="_blank"></a>WP/ABC poll on the Democratic advantage in the midtermsPresident Trump:<a href="http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/trump-job-approval" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Job Approval</a><a href="https://realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2018_generic_congressional_vote-6185.html" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Generic Ballot</a>Brett Kavanaugh (last name sung to the tune of Van Halen’s “Panama”):<a href="http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2018/08/23/fox-news-poll-voters-split-45-46-percent-on-confirming-kavanaugh-to-high-court.html" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Fox News Poll</a><a href="https://www.cnn.com/2018/08/16/politics/cnn-poll-kavanaugh-confirmation/index.html" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">CNN Poll</a><a href="https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/4792313/SCOTUSModelMemo01.pdf" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">WPA Intelligence Memo</a>Press Freedom:<a href="https://www.rcfp.org/sites/default/files/docs/20180905_104906_press_freedom_polling_report_slides.pdf" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Building a Narrative Toward Trust</a>: Echelon Insights + Greenberg Quinlan Rosner<a href="https://www.kff.org/health-costs/poll-finding/kaiser-health-tracking-poll-late-summer-2018-the-election-pre-existing-conditions-and-surprises-on-medical-bills/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">KFF Poll on corruption, healthcare, and the most important issue of the campaigns</a><a href="https://www.wsj.com/articles/SB10001424127887324391104578228241729282754?mod=searchresults&amp;page=1&amp;pos=28&amp;mod=article_inline" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Notre Dame and Michigan are Trash (not really, everyone hates Alabama)</a>Learn more about your ad choices. Visit <a href="https://megaphone.fm/adchoices" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">megaphone.fm/adchoices</a>

#181: Kristen Sings Van Halen!

We’ve recovered from the convention, but have the polls? Take it away, Kristen’s iPhone...   Poll of the week: Is 2016 making you wish you had a brain implant?. Do brain chip implants make you worried? What if they don’t actually work?   Pew: Americans wary of biomedical enhancements for the human body    2016: A Clinton bounce, a Trump crater, and smod it all to heck. Clinton has a post-Philly bounce. But who knows what’s even happening anymore. Ah, 2016,   Huffington Post analysis of post-convention bounce  Huffington Post trackers  Kristen's article in the examiner  Margie’s latest dial-test poll from PSB Research  Pew on few with cross-party friends  From the Washington Post/Monkey Cage  PPP on SMOD  PPP on Harambe    Mansplain this to us. Men are experts on being experts. Maybe the answer is--affirmative action?   Wash Post: Men cite themselves more than women do  Gallup on gender and affirmative action    ISO: Someone who likes Dr. Pepper, crying, guns, and avocado Can your OK Cupid profile predict your party leanings? Well, do you like Broad CIty or Clint Eastwood?   OK Cupid on politics    Key findings:  We're old enough to remember when just the polling seemed crazy. Men are experts, just ask them! There aren’t many places where Democrats and Republicans can hang out. It’s not in person. It’s not OK Cupid. It’s just The Pollsters.     Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

We’ve recovered from the convention, but have the polls? Take it away, Kristen’s iPhone...   Poll of the week: Is 2016 making you wish you had a brain implant?. Do brain chip implants make you worried? What if they don’t actually work? Pew: Americans wary of biomedical enhancements for the human body   2016: A Clinton bounce, a Trump crater, and smod it all to heck. Clinton has a post-Philly bounce. But who knows what’s even happening anymore. Ah, 2016, Huffington Post analysis of post-convention bounce Huffington Post trackers Kristen's article in the examiner Margie’s latest dial-test poll from PSB Research Pew on few with cross-party friends From the Washington Post/Monkey Cage PPP on SMOD PPP on Harambe   Mansplain this to us. Men are experts on being experts. Maybe the answer is--affirmative action? Wash Post: Men cite themselves more than women do Gallup on gender and affirmative action   ISO: Someone who likes Dr. Pepper, crying, guns, and avocado Can your OK Cupid profile predict your party leanings? Well, do you like Broad CIty or Clint Eastwood? OK Cupid on politics   Key findings: We're old enough to remember when just the polling seemed crazy. Men are experts, just ask them! There aren’t many places where Democrats and Republicans can hang out. It’s not in person. It’s not OK Cupid. It’s just The Pollsters. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit <a href="https://megaphone.fm/adchoices" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">megaphone.fm/adchoices</a>

#75: Bounce, Bounce, Bounce

Anna Palmer

We talk to Anna Palmer from Politico's Playbook, give h/t to all kinds of Wonder Women, and even read some breaking polling news about GIFs. Follow Anna at @apalmerdc &amp; us @ksoltisanderson &amp; @margieomero.Poll of the Week Politico/American Univ/Loyola Marymount Univ: What stops women for running for office? http://politi.co/2t6B3XA  Democracy Fund Voter Study Group Lee Drutman, New America: What are the political divisions that have caused tension since the election?http://bit.ly/2sfsp97  John Sides, GWU: How have race, religion, immigration shaped the debate over the American Identity in 2016?http://bit.ly/2s5vnON  Robert Griffin &amp; Ruy Teixeira, Center for American Progress: Trump appealed to voters primarily on identity politics, amongst economic concerns and views of tradehttp://bit.ly/2trjRLy  Emily Ekins, Cato Institute: There are five types of Trump voters who have very different views on a variety of issueshttp://bit.ly/2sfCLpD  UK and Virginia Polling Wins and Misses BBC: How wrong was the UK General Election polling?http://bbc.in/2rAo12E  BBC: UK Vote Share http://bbc.in/2t0mX9b  HuffPo: UK General Election Pollshttp://bit.ly/2rRHHCZ  BBC: After the General Election, Brexit negotiations and May’s leadership are up in the airhttp://bbc.in/2stRlMn  HuffPo: VA Democratic Primary Pollshttp://bit.ly/2trBVVU  HuffPo: VA Republican Primary Pollshttp://bit.ly/2stAOrw  The latest in gun polling GunsDown/PSB Research: Americans believe that there should be less guns and that they should be harder to gethttp://bit.ly/2rvFDkR  Seriously with these movies? Empire: Magazine releases its 2017 list “100 Greatest Movies”, topped by The Godfather (1972)http://bit.ly/2rAKe0hLearn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

We talk to Anna Palmer from Politico's Playbook, give h/t to all kinds of Wonder Women, and even read some breaking polling news about GIFs. Follow Anna at @apalmerdc &amp; us @ksoltisanderson &amp; @margieomero. Poll of the Week Politico/American Univ/Loyola Marymount Univ: What stops women for running for office? <a href="http://politi.co/2t6B3XA" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://politi.co/2t6B3XA</a> Democracy Fund Voter Study Group Lee Drutman, New America: What are the political divisions that have caused tension since the election? <a href="http://bit.ly/2sfsp97" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://bit.ly/2sfsp97</a> John Sides, GWU: How have race, religion, immigration shaped the debate over the American Identity in 2016? <a href="http://bit.ly/2s5vnON" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://bit.ly/2s5vnON</a> Robert Griffin &amp; Ruy Teixeira, Center for American Progress: Trump appealed to voters primarily on identity politics, amongst economic concerns and views of trade <a href="http://bit.ly/2trjRLy" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://bit.ly/2trjRLy</a> Emily Ekins, Cato Institute: There are five types of Trump voters who have very different views on a variety of issues <a href="http://bit.ly/2sfCLpD" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://bit.ly/2sfCLpD</a> UK and Virginia Polling Wins and Misses BBC: How wrong was the UK General Election polling? <a href="http://bbc.in/2rAo12E" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://bbc.in/2rAo12E</a> BBC: UK Vote Share <a href="http://bbc.in/2t0mX9b" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://bbc.in/2t0mX9b</a> HuffPo: UK General Election Polls <a href="http://bit.ly/2rRHHCZ" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://bit.ly/2rRHHCZ</a> BBC: After the General Election, Brexit negotiations and May’s leadership are up in the air <a href="http://bbc.in/2stRlMn" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://bbc.in/2stRlMn</a> HuffPo: VA Democratic Primary Polls <a href="http://bit.ly/2trBVVU" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://bit.ly/2trBVVU</a> HuffPo: VA Republican Primary Polls <a href="http://bit.ly/2stAOrw" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://bit.ly/2stAOrw</a> The latest in gun polling GunsDown/PSB Research: Americans believe that there should be less guns and that they should be harder to get <a href="http://bit.ly/2rvFDkR" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://bit.ly/2rvFDkR</a> Seriously with these movies? Empire: Magazine releases its 2017 list “100 Greatest Movies”, topped by The Godfather (1972) <a href="http://bit.ly/2rAKe0h" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://bit.ly/2rAKe0h</a>Learn more about your ad choices. Visit <a href="https://megaphone.fm/adchoices" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">megaphone.fm/adchoices</a>

#120: Playbook's Anna Palmer, 5 Kinds of Trump Voters, & VA/UK Reax (6/15/17)

Is  it the end of the world  as we know it? Well we're going to record literally from a  bubble  no  matter what! Tweet us @ksoltisanderson @margieomero @thepollsters  with your audio tips,  prepping tips, and polling tips.Poll of the WeekGallup: Parents choose to intervene when a child is boredhttp://bit.ly/2vOYdFMThis Week in TrumpHuffPost: Trump Approval Ratingshttp://bit.ly/2jBmTwzSSRS/CNN: Low approval ratings at Trump’s 200 days markhttp://cnn.it/2vJgg0IPew Research: Both parties believe the future will be worse for their childrenhttp://pewrsr.ch/2vwAUAgKasichmania?ARG: In theoretical GOP primary, likely NH voters would choose Kasich over Trumphttps://usat.ly/2hGlQKXNuclear North KoreaSSRS/CBS News: Americans feel uneasy about future US/North Korean Relationshttp://cbsn.ws/2vJhYy6Women in the Tech WorldScience: Girls begin believing boys are smarter at young agehttp://for.tn/2kbLIONHarris Poll/Kapor Center: Women site unfairness as a top reason for leaving tech industryhttp://bit.ly/2pub3SXISACA: Women in tech industry cite a lack of mentors and gender biashttp://bit.ly/2hLugkzThe Bieber Belthttp://nyti.ms/2vOTx2jNYT: Maps show concentration of music artist fans across the UShttp://nyti.ms/2ftM9DKReddit/Wide Open Country: Map of best selling music artists, by statehttp://bit.ly/2vkhq1g Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Is it the end of the world as we know it? Well we're going to record literally from a bubble no matter what! Tweet us @ksoltisanderson @margieomero @thepollsters with your audio tips, prepping tips, and polling tips. Poll of the Week Gallup: Parents choose to intervene when a child is bored <a href="http://bit.ly/2vOYdFM" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://bit.ly/2vOYdFM</a> This Week in Trump HuffPost: Trump Approval Ratings <a href="http://bit.ly/2jBmTwz" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://bit.ly/2jBmTwz</a> SSRS/CNN: Low approval ratings at Trump’s 200 days mark <a href="http://cnn.it/2vJgg0I" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://cnn.it/2vJgg0I</a> Pew Research: Both parties believe the future will be worse for their children <a href="http://pewrsr.ch/2vwAUAg" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://pewrsr.ch/2vwAUAg</a> Kasichmania? ARG: In theoretical GOP primary, likely NH voters would choose Kasich over Trump <a href="https://usat.ly/2hGlQKX" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://usat.ly/2hGlQKX</a> Nuclear North Korea SSRS/CBS News: Americans feel uneasy about future US/North Korean Relations <a href="http://cbsn.ws/2vJhYy6" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://cbsn.ws/2vJhYy6</a> Women in the Tech World Science: Girls begin believing boys are smarter at young age <a href="http://for.tn/2kbLION" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://for.tn/2kbLION</a> Harris Poll/Kapor Center: Women site unfairness as a top reason for leaving tech industry <a href="http://bit.ly/2pub3SX" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://bit.ly/2pub3SX</a> ISACA: Women in tech industry cite a lack of mentors and gender bias <a href="http://bit.ly/2hLugkz" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://bit.ly/2hLugkz</a> The Bieber Belt <a href="http://nyti.ms/2vOTx2j" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://nyti.ms/2vOTx2j</a> NYT: Maps show concentration of music artist fans across the US <a href="http://nyti.ms/2ftM9DK" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://nyti.ms/2ftM9DK</a> Reddit/Wide Open Country: Map of best selling music artists, by state <a href="http://bit.ly/2vkhq1g" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://bit.ly/2vkhq1g</a> Learn more about your ad choices. Visit <a href="https://megaphone.fm/adchoices" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">megaphone.fm/adchoices</a>

#128: Life (Or At  Least  The Show) Must  Go On (8/10/17)

It's almost National Red Wine Day. It can't come soon enough. Tweet us @margieomero @ksoltisanderson @thepollsters.Poll of The Week: Not Here To Make FriendsMcConnell’s Kentucky numbershttp://ourlivesontheline.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/KentuckyResults.pdfCuomo’s NY numbers:https://poll.qu.edu/new-york-state/release-detail?ReleaseID=2472Trump-maniaHP aggregator:http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/trump-job-approval CharlottesvilleWP/ABC poll:https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/poll-shows-strong-disapproval-of-how-trump-responded-to-charlottesville-violence/2017/08/21/4e5c585c-868b-11e7-a94f-3139abce39f5_story.html?utm_term=.69c84e8189ea http://apps.washingtonpost.com/g/page/politics/washington-post-abc-news-poll-aug-16-20-2017/2235/Reuters on monuments:http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-protests-poll-idUSKCN1B12EGMassINC poll in Virginia:https://massincpolling.com/2017/08/22/virginia-voters-divided-on-blame-for-charlottesville-violence/Morning consult/Politicohttp://www.politico.com/story/2017/08/23/trump-charlottesville-polls-241917?lo=ap_a1GW/Battleground pollhttps://mediarelations.gwu.edu/battleground-pollTroll poll alerthttp://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2017/08/trump-holds-steady-after-charlottesville-supporters-think-whites-christians-face-discrimination.html“Level-headed” polling from Quinnipiac:https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2482All about that base from Fabriziohttps://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2017/08/22/trumps-own-pollster-just-confirmed-his-base-is-weakening/A Harry Enten Investigationhttps://fivethirtyeight.com/features/fake-polls-are-a-real-problem/Back to school Safe spaces on campushttp://www.gallup.com/poll/216278/why-republicans-down-higher.aspx?g_source=Education&amp;g_medium=newsfeed&amp;g_campaign=tilesIs back to school shopping stressful?https://morningconsult.com/2017/08/14/poll-walmart-fan-favorite-among-parents-back-school-shopping/National Red Wine Day comes earlier every yearhttps://nationaltoday.com/us/national-red-wine-day/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

It's almost National Red Wine Day. It can't come soon enough. Tweet us @margieomero @ksoltisanderson @thepollsters. Poll of The Week: Not Here To Make Friends McConnell’s Kentucky numbers <a href="http://ourlivesontheline.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/KentuckyResults.pdf" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://ourlivesontheline.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/KentuckyResults.pdf</a> Cuomo’s NY numbers: <a href="https://poll.qu.edu/new-york-state/release-detail?ReleaseID=2472" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://poll.qu.edu/new-york-state/release-detail?ReleaseID=2472</a> Trump-mania HP aggregator: <a href="http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/trump-job-approval" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/trump-job-approval</a> Charlottesville WP/ABC poll: <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/poll-shows-strong-disapproval-of-how-trump-responded-to-charlottesville-violence/2017/08/21/4e5c585c-868b-11e7-a94f-3139abce39f5_story.html?utm_term=.69c84e8189ea" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/poll-shows-strong-disapproval-of-how-trump-responded-to-charlottesville-violence/2017/08/21/4e5c585c-868b-11e7-a94f-3139abce39f5_story.html?utm_term=.69c84e8189ea</a> <a href="http://apps.washingtonpost.com/g/page/politics/washington-post-abc-news-poll-aug-16-20-2017/2235/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://apps.washingtonpost.com/g/page/politics/washington-post-abc-news-poll-aug-16-20-2017/2235/</a> Reuters on monuments: <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-protests-poll-idUSKCN1B12EG" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-protests-poll-idUSKCN1B12EG</a> MassINC poll in Virginia: <a href="https://massincpolling.com/2017/08/22/virginia-voters-divided-on-blame-for-charlottesville-violence/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://massincpolling.com/2017/08/22/virginia-voters-divided-on-blame-for-charlottesville-violence/</a> Morning consult/Politico <a href="http://www.politico.com/story/2017/08/23/trump-charlottesville-polls-241917?lo=ap_a1" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://www.politico.com/story/2017/08/23/trump-charlottesville-polls-241917?lo=ap_a1</a> GW/Battleground poll <a href="https://mediarelations.gwu.edu/battleground-poll" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://mediarelations.gwu.edu/battleground-poll</a> Troll poll alert <a href="http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2017/08/trump-holds-steady-after-charlottesville-supporters-think-whites-christians-face-discrimination.html" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2017/08/trump-holds-steady-after-charlottesville-supporters-think-whites-christians-face-discrimination.html</a> “Level-headed” polling from Quinnipiac: <a href="https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2482" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2482</a> All about that base from Fabrizio <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2017/08/22/trumps-own-pollster-just-confirmed-his-base-is-weakening/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2017/08/22/trumps-own-pollster-just-confirmed-his-base-is-weakening/</a> A Harry Enten Investigation <a href="https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/fake-polls-are-a-real-problem/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/fake-polls-are-a-real-problem/</a> Back to school Safe spaces on campus <a href="http://www.gallup.com/poll/216278/why-republicans-down-higher.aspx?g_source=Education&amp;g_medium=newsfeed&amp;g_campaign=tiles" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://www.gallup.com/poll/216278/why-republicans-down-higher.aspx?g_source=Education&amp;g_medium=newsfeed&amp;g_campaign=tiles</a> Is back to school shopping stressful? <a href="https://morningconsult.com/2017/08/14/poll-walmart-fan-favorite-among-parents-back-school-shopping/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://morningconsult.com/2017/08/14/poll-walmart-fan-favorite-among-parents-back-school-shopping/</a> National Red Wine Day comes earlier every year <a href="https://nationaltoday.com/us/national-red-wine-day/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://nationaltoday.com/us/national-red-wine-day/</a> Learn more about your ad choices. Visit <a href="https://megaphone.fm/adchoices" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">megaphone.fm/adchoices</a>

#130: The Polls That Might Drive You To Drink (8/24/17)

To the angry reviewer who complained we do too much advertising and propaganda--this show’s for you! We promote our own stuff, and lament the sad Trumpian state of affairs. Hope you like it.   Poll of the Week: The On-Demand Economy It is more than just a ride to the airport or your lunch delivered.   PSB/Burson/Time article on the future of work  Full research deck    Is there a time machine that can take us to a non-Trump universe? What happens when we change up the competition?   HuffPost general election tracker  SurveyMonkey: Clinton vs. Not Trump  Reuters poll on racial attitudes of candidates’ supporters  Kristen contemplates a future for the GOP  The Atlantic: most American Christians think they’re victims of discrimination  Full PRRI/Brookings report  WP/Monkey Cage on authoritarianism  Politico Magazine on authoritarianism    Lee Greenwood, call your office We hope you’re one of 52% that does this 4th.   Gallup poll finds a 16-year low in American patriotism    What do Congressional staffers think about their job security after november? There could be major changes in both the Senate and the House.   CQ Roll Call: Democratic staffers are increasingly confident    Wine &amp; Sushi forever We trust the experts.   NYT poll: do nutritionists and the public agree?    Key findings:  You may think of the on-demand economy is just about being about a taxi to the airport or a sweetgreen salad to your office, but employers are thinking about this trend more carefully. Trump voters--just like Trump--are not your typical Republicans, particularly when it comes to views on race. If we don’t talk about it openly now, we won’t be ready for the post-Trump-ocalypse Elections have consequences, according to DC insiders. That doesn’t mean scoring White House tour tickets, but maybe a change in both the Senate and the House? Hope you celebrated the fourth by being proud to be Americans. And if not, hopefully you ate some wine, sushi, tofu, or hummus, in true, multi-culti American fashion. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

To the angry reviewer who complained we do too much advertising and propaganda--this show’s for you! We promote our own stuff, and lament the sad Trumpian state of affairs. Hope you like it.   Poll of the Week: The On-Demand Economy It is more than just a ride to the airport or your lunch delivered. PSB/Burson/Time article on the future of work Full research deck   Is there a time machine that can take us to a non-Trump universe? What happens when we change up the competition? HuffPost general election tracker SurveyMonkey: Clinton vs. Not Trump Reuters poll on racial attitudes of candidates’ supporters Kristen contemplates a future for the GOP The Atlantic: most American Christians think they’re victims of discrimination Full PRRI/Brookings report WP/Monkey Cage on authoritarianism Politico Magazine on authoritarianism   Lee Greenwood, call your office We hope you’re one of 52% that does this 4th. Gallup poll finds a 16-year low in American patriotism   What do Congressional staffers think about their job security after november? There could be major changes in both the Senate and the House. CQ Roll Call: Democratic staffers are increasingly confident   Wine &amp; Sushi forever We trust the experts. NYT poll: do nutritionists and the public agree?   Key findings: You may think of the on-demand economy is just about being about a taxi to the airport or a sweetgreen salad to your office, but employers are thinking about this trend more carefully. Trump voters--just like Trump--are not your typical Republicans, particularly when it comes to views on race. If we don’t talk about it openly now, we won’t be ready for the post-Trump-ocalypse Elections have consequences, according to DC insiders. That doesn’t mean scoring White House tour tickets, but maybe a change in both the Senate and the House? Hope you celebrated the fourth by being proud to be Americans. And if not, hopefully you ate some wine, sushi, tofu, or hummus, in true, multi-culti American fashion. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit <a href="https://megaphone.fm/adchoices" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">megaphone.fm/adchoices</a>

#72: Are you prepping for the Trump-ocalypse?

Margie's twitter poll shows covfefe twitter is the best twitter. Don't forget to tweet us @ksoltisanderson or @margieomero.Poll of the Week Gallup: Majority of Americans view all branches of military very favorablyhttp://bit.ly/2rElRTX Pew: US Veterans are generally more supportive of Trump than the overall public http://pewrsr.ch/2r4DWr7 This Week in Trump HuffPo: Trump’s approval rating has slightly increased, going from 39.9% to 41.3%http://bit.ly/2jBmTwz Politico: More people want Congress to impeach Trump, even if they don’t believe he has committed “high crimes and misdemeanors”http://politi.co/2qzOWQs Does Trump Support Help or Hurt? Pew: Trump’s first budget request makes large cuts to government programs, but few Americans support cuts.http://pewrsr.ch/2r3BfpM Gallup: Americans still see manufacturing as key to job creationbit.ly/2roKq6h PewGlobal: Over the past year, NATO’s image has improved on both sides of Atlantic.http://pewrsr.ch/2qRXU8h HuffPo: Most Americans believe in man-made climate change and want the US to participate in the Paris Agreementhttp://bit.ly/2smRY6Y Yale Climate Comm: A majority of Americans in every state say that the US should participate in the Paris Agreement. https://goo.gl/XDsKor Yale Climate Comm: Climate opinion maps and public opinion estimates on climate change.https://goo.gl/DJi0rN UK June 8th Election Tracking HuffPo: The Conservatives are losing their lead in the polls over the Labour Party.http://bit.ly/2smXkPz YouGov: Reasoning for YouGov’s use of the MRP technique during the UK 2017 General Election. https://goo.gl/TBcTA5 NYTimes: “Liar, Liar”, a song assailing Theresa May, is now topping the UK iTunes Chart.https://nyti.ms/2rkoJVa YouTube: “Liar, Liar” by Captain SKA (iTunes https://tinyurl.com/y86lhwwb)https://youtu.be/HxN1STgQXW8 Independent: Although Labour has been gaining in polls, the Party still won’t win the election. http://tinyli.uk/wBi Close Looper: According to Fandango, “Wonder Woman” is the most anticipated film of the summer.http://tinyurl.com/y9vg7q42 WalletHub: Orlando ranks first in the “Best Places for a Staycation” list.http://tinyurl.com/znbg8kj Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Margie's twitter poll shows covfefe twitter is the best twitter. Don't forget to tweet us @ksoltisanderson or @margieomero. Poll of the Week Gallup: Majority of Americans view all branches of military very favorably <a href="http://bit.ly/2rElRTX" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://bit.ly/2rElRTX</a> Pew: US Veterans are generally more supportive of Trump than the overall public <a href="http://pewrsr.ch/2r4DWr7" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://pewrsr.ch/2r4DWr7</a> This Week in Trump HuffPo: Trump’s approval rating has slightly increased, going from 39.9% to 41.3% <a href="http://bit.ly/2jBmTwz" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://bit.ly/2jBmTwz</a> Politico: More people want Congress to impeach Trump, even if they don’t believe he has committed “high crimes and misdemeanors” <a href="http://politi.co/2qzOWQs" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://politi.co/2qzOWQs</a> Does Trump Support Help or Hurt? Pew: Trump’s first budget request makes large cuts to government programs, but few Americans support cuts. <a href="http://pewrsr.ch/2r3BfpM" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://pewrsr.ch/2r3BfpM</a> Gallup: Americans still see manufacturing as key to job creation <a href="http://bit.ly/2roKq6h" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">bit.ly/2roKq6h</a> PewGlobal: Over the past year, NATO’s image has improved on both sides of Atlantic. <a href="http://pewrsr.ch/2qRXU8h" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://pewrsr.ch/2qRXU8h</a> HuffPo: Most Americans believe in man-made climate change and want the US to participate in the Paris Agreement <a href="http://bit.ly/2smRY6Y" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://bit.ly/2smRY6Y</a> Yale Climate Comm: A majority of Americans in every state say that the US should participate in the Paris Agreement. <a href="https://goo.gl/XDsKor" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://goo.gl/XDsKor</a> Yale Climate Comm: Climate opinion maps and public opinion estimates on climate change. <a href="https://goo.gl/DJi0rN" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://goo.gl/DJi0rN</a> UK June 8th Election Tracking HuffPo: The Conservatives are losing their lead in the polls over the Labour Party. <a href="http://bit.ly/2smXkPz" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://bit.ly/2smXkPz</a> YouGov: Reasoning for YouGov’s use of the MRP technique during the UK 2017 General Election. <a href="https://goo.gl/TBcTA5" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://goo.gl/TBcTA5</a> NYTimes: “Liar, Liar”, a song assailing Theresa May, is now topping the UK iTunes Chart. <a href="https://nyti.ms/2rkoJVa" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://nyti.ms/2rkoJVa</a> YouTube: “Liar, Liar” by Captain SKA (iTunes <a href="https://tinyurl.com/y86lhwwb" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://tinyurl.com/y86lhwwb</a>) <a href="https://youtu.be/HxN1STgQXW8" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://youtu.be/HxN1STgQXW8</a> Independent: Although Labour has been gaining in polls, the Party still won’t win the election. <a href="http://tinyli.uk/wBi" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://tinyli.uk/wBi</a> Close Looper: According to Fandango, “Wonder Woman” is the most anticipated film of the summer. <a href="http://tinyurl.com/y9vg7q42" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://tinyurl.com/y9vg7q42</a> WalletHub: Orlando ranks first in the “Best Places for a Staycation” list. <a href="http://tinyurl.com/znbg8kj" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">http://tinyurl.com/znbg8kj</a> Learn more about your ad choices. Visit <a href="https://megaphone.fm/adchoices" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">megaphone.fm/adchoices</a>

#118: The  Latest Covfefes on Impeachment, NATO, Paris, the UK & staycations

#189: Scary Midterms and Fortnite CostumesPoll of the WeekViews of voting access linked to opinion on diversity in the U.S. (Pew Research)YouthHarvard IOP Youth Poll Fall 2018 (Institute of Politics, Harvard)Millennials Turnout (NBC/GenForward)Trump and RepublicansJob Approval (Huffington Post)Partisan Polarization Dominates Trump Era (PRRI)2018 Generic Congressional Vote (Real Clear Politics)Women and the EconomyRed-Hot Economy? Women Aren’t Convinced (New York Times)HalloweenMost Popular Halloween Costumes 2018 (Google Trends)Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

#189: Scary Midterms and Fortnite CostumesPoll of the Week<a href="http://www.people-press.org/2018/10/29/elections-in-america-concerns-over-security-divisions-over-expanding-access-to-voting/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Views of voting access linked to opinion on diversity in the U.S.</a> (Pew Research)Youth<a href="http://iop.harvard.edu/spring-2018-national-youth-poll" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Harvard IOP Youth Poll Fall 2018</a> (Institute of Politics, Harvard)<a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/record-turnout-not-millennials-just-third-say-they-ll-vote-n926231" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Millennials Turnout</a> (NBC/GenForward)Trump and Republicans<a href="https://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/trump-job-approval" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Job Approval</a> (Huffington Post)<a href="https://www.prri.org/research/partisan-polarization-dominates-trump-era-findings-from-the-2018-american-values-survey/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Partisan Polarization Dominates Trump Era</a> (PRRI)<a href="https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2018_generic_congressional_vote-6185.html" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">2018 Generic Congressional Vote</a> (Real Clear Politics)Women and the Economy<a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2018/10/27/business/economy/women-usa-economy.html?action=click&amp;module=Top%20Stories&amp;pgtype=Homepage" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Red-Hot Economy? Women Aren’t Convinced</a> (New York Times)Halloween<a href="https://patch.com/us/across-america/halloween-costumes-2018-fortnite-tops-most-popular-state-rank" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Most Popular Halloween Costumes 2018</a> (Google Trends)Learn more about your ad choices. Visit <a href="https://megaphone.fm/adchoices" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">megaphone.fm/adchoices</a>

#189: Scary Midterms and Fortnite Costumes

Bruce Mehlman

With Kristen away, we recorded this great interview with a guy who's been everywhere--Bruce Mehlman. What can he tell us about bipartisanship? Find him @bpmehlman. 14th &amp; G podcastTech CEO CouncilPolling memoLearn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

With Kristen away, we recorded this great interview with a guy who's been everywhere--Bruce Mehlman. What can he tell us about bipartisanship? Find him <a href="https://twitter.com/bpmehlman" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">@bpmehlman</a>. <a href="http://mehlmancastagnetti.com/14thandg-podcast/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">14th &amp; G podcast</a><a href="http://www.techceocouncil.org/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Tech CEO Council</a><a href="http://www.techceocouncil.org/clientuploads/reports/GBA%20TCC%20Memo%2006%2013%2018%20final.pdf" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Polling memo</a>Learn more about your ad choices. Visit <a href="https://megaphone.fm/adchoices" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">megaphone.fm/adchoices</a>

#179: Bruce Mehlman On Tech & Bipartisanship

Mad-Man style, or Rhoda Morgenstern, either way we love  this Medium post &amp; review from Michelle Thomas of Javelina. We forgot all about the cat videos!   Poll of the week: News alerts! Are you living in a media bubble? You might be if you think *everyone* is living in a bubble. And how many people get news alerts on their phone?   Pew on news alerts  NYT/Upshot on "echo chamber"  Gallup on lack of trust in the media    Breaking: Morbid, er, Morning Consult poll This new Morning Consult poll leaves no stone unturned on the presidential health issue.   Morning Consult on candidate health  Morning Consult crosstabs    2016! Today’s forecast is... Today’s forecast looks a lot like yesterday’s forecast.   Huffington Post/pollster averages  Slate's poll of poll of polls  The Upshot vs. Princeton vs. 538  FiveThirtyEight forecasts  RCP vs. Huffington Post average methodology The "Primary Model"    Non-voters &amp; new voters. More myths debunked Once you look at these Pew numbers, get ready to re-read The Selfie Vote.   Pew on changing party compositions  NYT/The Upshot on non-voters    The one poll in the world you could predict with certainty The internet meme that will never die.   The Daily Mirror on Harambe McHarambeFace    Key Findings  Today’s forecast looks a lot like yesterday’s forecast. But it’s not clear if it’s time yet to get out your umbrella. Lots of myth debunking going on out there. Check your assumptions folks! It’s a good thing we never did an online poll about the name of our show, or it may in fact become those two hens. When 2016 gets a little crazy, reflect on some simpler times, with cat videos, old 70s sitcoms, or back episodes of The Pollsters. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Mad-Man style, or Rhoda Morgenstern, either way we love this Medium post &amp; review from Michelle Thomas of Javelina. We forgot all about the cat videos!   Poll of the week: News alerts! Are you living in a media bubble? You might be if you think *everyone* is living in a bubble. And how many people get news alerts on their phone? Pew on news alerts NYT/Upshot on "echo chamber" Gallup on lack of trust in the media   Breaking: Morbid, er, Morning Consult poll This new Morning Consult poll leaves no stone unturned on the presidential health issue. Morning Consult on candidate health Morning Consult crosstabs   2016! Today’s forecast is... Today’s forecast looks a lot like yesterday’s forecast. Huffington Post/pollster averages Slate's poll of poll of polls The Upshot vs. Princeton vs. 538 FiveThirtyEight forecasts RCP vs. Huffington Post average methodology The "Primary Model"   Non-voters &amp; new voters. More myths debunked Once you look at these Pew numbers, get ready to re-read The Selfie Vote. Pew on changing party compositions NYT/The Upshot on non-voters   The one poll in the world you could predict with certainty The internet meme that will never die. The Daily Mirror on Harambe McHarambeFace   Key Findings Today’s forecast looks a lot like yesterday’s forecast. But it’s not clear if it’s time yet to get out your umbrella. Lots of myth debunking going on out there. Check your assumptions folks! It’s a good thing we never did an online poll about the name of our show, or it may in fact become those two hens. When 2016 gets a little crazy, reflect on some simpler times, with cat videos, old 70s sitcoms, or back episodes of The Pollsters. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit <a href="https://megaphone.fm/adchoices" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">megaphone.fm/adchoices</a>

#82: Today's forecast: hot with a 100%  chance of polls

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