Timothy Masters's guest appearances

Timothy Masters

Better System Trader

Criminal Behaviorology

Dave Bergstrom

Jack Schwager

Gary Antonacci

Adam Butler

Andreas Clenow

Jerry Parker

Larry Connors

Bert Mouler

Stuart McPhee

Ryan Moffett

Linda Raschke

Aaron Brown

Adam Grimes

James Strang

Brian Miller

OwlTail

Numerical Computing specialist and author Timothy Masters joins us (in his only ever interview) to discuss trading strategy development and validation techniques, including:  Why trading strategies fall apart in live trading, How luck impacts trading strategy results and the impact of selecting the 'best' trading system, Why trades in an out of sample dataset are NOT representative of future trades, 3 ways to use Monte Carlo Permutation tests in trading strategy development to avoid overfitting, evaluate strategy robustness and assess the quality of your strategy development process, The danger of using out of sample trades to compute the probability of drawdowns, Entropy and information of indicators and why it's important to strategy development, How stationarity really impacts trading strategies and what strategy developers can do about it, Using Walk Forward to determine how robust a strategy is in the market, Incomplete Beta Distribution to track strategy deterioration, Bootstrapping, granular Profit Factor, the predictive ability of technical indicators, counter-trend trading and much more. 

Numerical Computing specialist and author Timothy Masters joins us (in his only ever interview) to discuss trading strategy development and validation techniques, including: <ul> <li>Why trading strategies fall apart in live trading,</li> <li>How luck impacts trading strategy results and the impact of selecting the 'best' trading system,</li> <li>Why trades in an out of sample dataset are NOT representative of future trades,</li> <li>3 ways to use Monte Carlo Permutation tests in trading strategy development to avoid overfitting, evaluate strategy robustness and assess the quality of your strategy development process,</li> <li>The danger of using out of sample trades to compute the probability of drawdowns,</li> <li>Entropy and information of indicators and why it's important to strategy development,</li> <li>How stationarity really impacts trading strategies and what strategy developers can do about it,</li> <li>Using Walk Forward to determine how robust a strategy is in the market,</li> <li>Incomplete Beta Distribution to track strategy deterioration,</li> <li>Bootstrapping, granular Profit Factor, the predictive ability of technical indicators, counter-trend trading and much more.</li> </ul>

185: How to avoid creating trading strategies that degrade quickly - Timothy Masters

Criminal Behaviorology Bad Analysis Equals Wrongful Conviction: The Tragic Case of Timothy MastersTimothy Masters was released from a Colorado prison in 2008 after serving nine years for a crime he did not commit. In this episode, we will review an article (When Worlds Collide, The Forensic Examiner, 2009) by Frank S. Perri and Terrence G. Lichtenwald on the Masters case, and focus on the proper and improper use of criminal profiling.In addition, the announcement of an upcoming (July 30th, 2020) webinar on “Novel Uses of Applied Behavior Analysis,” for which Continuing Education units are available. Sign-up information is below:https://www.signupforms.com/registrations/23153Updates and other information on this webinar can be found at this Facebook page:https://www.facebook.com/NovelApplications/Show Highlights:-	The facts of the Masters case including the details of the crime, the extrapolation of personality and behavioral characteristics from Masters’s drawings and the lack of physical evidence linking him to the murder.-	Allegations of the defense not receiving pertinent details, including the opinion of retired FBI Agent Roy Hazelwood.-	The use of a forensic psychologist in cases of criminal profiling, and why such an expert could view the same information very differently from a seasoned criminal investigator.-	The reality of criminal profiling and why we must be careful in the interpretation of evidence in cases like this one.Look up CrimBehav on Facebook: facebook.com/CrimBehav.Criminal Behaviorology on Blogger. CB Podcast Sites:https://criminalbehaviorology.podomatic.com https://anchor.fm/criminalbehaviorology https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/criminal-behaviorology/id1441879795?mt=2&amp;uo=4 https://www.google.com/podcasts?feed=aHR0cHM6Ly9hbmNob3IuZm0vcy83MzY4OWFjL3BvZGNhc3QvcnNz https://open.spotify.com/show/5VM7Sjv762u7nb91YWGczZ https://www.breaker.audio/criminal-behaviorology https://overcast.fm/itunes1441879795/criminal-behaviorology https://pca.st/Q38w https://radiopublic.com/criminal-behaviorology-GEv2AZ https://www.stitcher.com/podcast/anchor-podcasts/criminal-behaviorologyPlease write a review on any of our podcast sites listed above. Questions, comments, and requests for transcripts to: criminalbehaviorology@gmail.comThank you for listening.--- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/criminalbehaviorology/support

Criminal Behaviorology Bad Analysis Equals Wrongful Conviction: The Tragic Case of Timothy Masters Timothy Masters was released from a Colorado prison in 2008 after serving nine years for a crime he did not commit. In this episode, we will review an article (When Worlds Collide, The Forensic Examiner, 2009) by Frank S. Perri and Terrence G. Lichtenwald on the Masters case, and focus on the proper and improper use of criminal profiling. In addition, the announcement of an upcoming (July 30th, 2020) webinar on “Novel Uses of Applied Behavior Analysis,” for which Continuing Education units are available. Sign-up information is below: <a href="https://www.signupforms.com/registrations/23153" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://www.signupforms.com/registrations/23153</a> Updates and other information on this webinar can be found at this Facebook page: <a href="https://www.facebook.com/NovelApplications/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://www.facebook.com/NovelApplications/</a> Show Highlights: -	The facts of the Masters case including the details of the crime, the extrapolation of personality and behavioral characteristics from Masters’s drawings and the lack of physical evidence linking him to the murder. -	Allegations of the defense not receiving pertinent details, including the opinion of retired FBI Agent Roy Hazelwood. -	The use of a forensic psychologist in cases of criminal profiling, and why such an expert could view the same information very differently from a seasoned criminal investigator. -	The reality of criminal profiling and why we must be careful in the interpretation of evidence in cases like this one. Look up CrimBehav on Facebook: <a href="http://facebook.com/CrimBehav" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">facebook.com/CrimBehav</a>. Criminal Behaviorology on Blogger. CB Podcast Sites: <a href="https://criminalbehaviorology.podomatic.com" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://criminalbehaviorology.podomatic.com</a> <a href="https://anchor.fm/criminalbehaviorology" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://anchor.fm/criminalbehaviorology</a> <a href="https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/criminal-behaviorology/id1441879795?mt=2&amp;uo=4" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/criminal-behaviorology/id1441879795?mt=2&amp;uo=4</a> <a href="https://www.google.com/podcasts?feed=aHR0cHM6Ly9hbmNob3IuZm0vcy83MzY4OWFjL3BvZGNhc3QvcnNz" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://www.google.com/podcasts?feed=aHR0cHM6Ly9hbmNob3IuZm0vcy83MzY4OWFjL3BvZGNhc3QvcnNz</a> <a href="https://open.spotify.com/show/5VM7Sjv762u7nb91YWGczZ" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://open.spotify.com/show/5VM7Sjv762u7nb91YWGczZ</a> https://www.breaker.audio/criminal-behaviorology <a href="https://overcast.fm/itunes1441879795/criminal-behaviorology" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://overcast.fm/itunes1441879795/criminal-behaviorology</a> <a href="https://pca.st/Q38w" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://pca.st/Q38w</a> <a href="https://radiopublic.com/criminal-behaviorology-GEv2AZ" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://radiopublic.com/criminal-behaviorology-GEv2AZ</a> <a href="https://www.stitcher.com/podcast/anchor-podcasts/criminal-behaviorology" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://www.stitcher.com/podcast/anchor-podcasts/criminal-behaviorology</a> Please write a review on any of our podcast sites listed above. Questions, comments, and requests for transcripts to: criminalbehaviorology@gmail.com Thank you for listening. --- Support this podcast: <a href="https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/criminalbehaviorology/support" rel="payment nofollow" target="_blank">https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/criminalbehaviorology/support</a>

Bad Analysis Equals Wrongful Conviction: The Tragic Case of Timothy Masters