Timothy Clancy's guest appearances

Timothy Clancy

The Way Out | A Sobriety & Recovery Podcast

The Jim Rutt Show

Sam Harris

Annie Duke

Michael Mauboussin

Stephanie Lepp

Ben Goertzel

Bret Weinstein

Tim Ryan

Greg Lukianoff

Jason Brennan

Amy Dresner

Cory Doctorow

Colin Wright

Michael Vassar

Gary Marcus

Robin Hanson

OwlTail

Continuing his series of expert interviews on the Russia-Ukraine War, Jim talks with Timothy Clancy about forecasting the conflict through mid-May...Continuing his series of expert interviews on the Russia-Ukraine War, Jim talks with Timothy Clancy about forecasting the conflict through mid-May. They discuss five likely mid-game scenarios, Ukraine as a Go board, how urban combat has changed in the 21st century, the "belt" strategy, Grozny Rules, creating feral cities, Putin's unknown "maximum acceptable atrocity" limit, the danger of extreme swings in analysis, a quicksand strategy for Ukraine &amp; why it could be good for the West, Ukraine as a risk to Putin's control of Russia, how Putin has provided a common point of unification for Ukraine &amp; NATO, simulation factors for Ukrainian insurgency, overwhelming violence's galvanizing effects, the Goode ratio, limited usefulness of the historical record &amp; unpredictability of new tech, the right level of international friction to avoid going up the escalation ladder, and much more. 	Episode Transcript 	JRS Currents 055: Paul Goble on Putin’s Strategic Mistakes 	JRS Currents 054: Samo Burja on the Russia-Ukraine War 	JRS Currents 052: John Robb on War in Ukraine 	InfoMullet (blog) 	InfoMullet (Twitter) 	Dialectic SimulationsTimothy Clancy has an MSc from WPI in Insurgency Dynamics &amp; Simulation Science. As a Ph.D. candidate, he is preparing to defend his dissertation on the life-cycle of violence and instability of non-state actors as a complex system of studied simulations. His published research includes a simulation model of ISIS in Syria and Iraq and another of violent radicalization leading to terrorism as a social contagion.Timothy runs a blog, InfoMullet.com or @InfoMullet on Twitter or Facebook, that provides more context for complex current events. Through the InfoMullet he’s tracked regional conflicts relevant to the current Russian invasion as far back as the Second Chechnyan war through Georgia, Syria, Libya, and most recently Armenia v. Azerbaijan. He also provides focused coverage on uprisings and non-state actor conflict including EuroMaidan protest movements which 8 years ago this February led to the collapse of the Yanukovych regime, Russian annexation of Crimea, and the start of the Russo-Ukrainian war in 2014.His consulting firm Dialectic Simulations Consulting helps clients ranging from Fortune 1000 to government agencies and military commands solve some of their toughest problems with simulations.

Continuing his series of expert interviews on the Russia-Ukraine War, Jim talks with Timothy Clancy about forecasting the conflict through mid-May... Continuing his series of expert interviews on the Russia-Ukraine War, Jim talks with Timothy Clancy about forecasting the conflict through mid-May. They discuss five likely mid-game scenarios, Ukraine as a Go board, how urban combat has changed in the 21st century, the "belt" strategy, Grozny Rules, creating feral cities, Putin's unknown "maximum acceptable atrocity" limit, the danger of extreme swings in analysis, a quicksand strategy for Ukraine &amp; why it could be good for the West, Ukraine as a risk to Putin's control of Russia, how Putin has provided a common point of unification for Ukraine &amp; NATO, simulation factors for Ukrainian insurgency, overwhelming violence's galvanizing effects, the Goode ratio, limited usefulness of the historical record &amp; unpredictability of new tech, the right level of international friction to avoid going up the escalation ladder, and much more. 	Episode Transcript 	JRS Currents 055: Paul Goble on Putin’s Strategic Mistakes 	JRS Currents 054: Samo Burja on the Russia-Ukraine War 	JRS Currents 052: John Robb on War in Ukraine 	InfoMullet (blog) 	InfoMullet (Twitter) 	Dialectic Simulations Timothy Clancy has an MSc from WPI in Insurgency Dynamics &amp; Simulation Science. As a Ph.D. candidate, he is preparing to defend his dissertation on the life-cycle of violence and instability of non-state actors as a complex system of studied simulations. His published research includes a simulation model of ISIS in Syria and Iraq and another of violent radicalization leading to terrorism as a social contagion. Timothy runs a blog, <a href="http://InfoMullet.com" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">InfoMullet.com</a> or @InfoMullet on Twitter or Facebook, that provides more context for complex current events. Through the InfoMullet he’s tracked regional conflicts relevant to the current Russian invasion as far back as the Second Chechnyan war through Georgia, Syria, Libya, and most recently Armenia v. Azerbaijan. He also provides focused coverage on uprisings and non-state actor conflict including EuroMaidan protest movements which 8 years ago this February led to the collapse of the Yanukovych regime, Russian annexation of Crimea, and the start of the Russo-Ukrainian war in 2014. His consulting firm Dialectic Simulations Consulting helps clients ranging from Fortune 1000 to government agencies and military commands solve some of their toughest problems with simulations.

Currents 057: Timothy Clancy on Russia’s Mid-Game

In this rendition of The Way Out our steadfast recovery Co-Host Jason’s got a magnificent interview with person in long term recovery and Author, Timothy Clancy who shares with us his road to Sobriety. From rock bottom to ten years of continuous sobriety and counting, Timothy’s journey to and through recovery to this point has been difficult at times, yet exceedingly rewarding at the same time. As you’ll come to learn, Timothy lives with Epilepsy, which has meant he’s spent time in a coma and undergone two brain surgeries. Without question Timothy walks his talk, which in addition to writing his book The Road to Sobriety, is personified by his decision to leave a lucrative job in the financial industry at Goldman Sachs to become an Independent Cognitive Behavioral Therapy, or CBT counselor helping people who struggle with self-destructive behavior, substance abuse, eating disorders and more. Timothy talks about the sacrifices he has made in order to fulfill his purpose, helping others and giving back! For Timothy, true happiness could only be found by giving up financial success, thus creating his own version of personal success! No doubt about it, Timothy has a survivor's story and a servant's heart so listen up. Book recommendation: Cognitive Behavioral Therapy for Dummies https://mindhearteu.files.wordpress.com/2017/12/cognitive-behavioural-therapy-for-dummies-copy.pdf Song that symbolizes recovery: Better than Drugs by Skillet https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9VGyDL7sTHA Contact Timothy at kayla72911@gmail.com Timothy's book -The Road to Sobriety: lifting yourself up when there doesn't seem like much to hold onto Get it for free on Kindle Unlimited or purchase here at this link https://www.amazon.com/gp/aw/d/B08N1KGNTK/ref=tmm_pap_swatch_0?ie=UTF8&amp;qid=1627864045&amp;sr=8-3 (c) 2021 The Way Out Podcast | All Rights Reserved Theme Music: “all clear” (https://ketsa.uk/browse-music/) by Ketsa (https://ketsa.uk)  licensed under CC BY-NC-ND  4.0(https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/--- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/the-way-out-podcast/message

In this rendition of The Way Out our steadfast recovery Co-Host Jason’s got a magnificent interview with person in long term recovery and Author, Timothy Clancy who shares with us his road to Sobriety. From rock bottom to ten years of continuous sobriety and counting, Timothy’s journey to and through recovery to this point has been difficult at times, yet exceedingly rewarding at the same time. As you’ll come to learn, Timothy lives with Epilepsy, which has meant he’s spent time in a coma and undergone two brain surgeries. Without question Timothy walks his talk, which in addition to writing his book The Road to Sobriety, is personified by his decision to leave a lucrative job in the financial industry at Goldman Sachs to become an Independent Cognitive Behavioral Therapy, or CBT counselor helping people who struggle with self-destructive behavior, substance abuse, eating disorders and more. Timothy talks about the sacrifices he has made in order to fulfill his purpose, helping others and giving back! For Timothy, true happiness could only be found by giving up financial success, thus creating his own version of personal success! No doubt about it, Timothy has a survivor's story and a servant's heart so listen up. Book recommendation: Cognitive Behavioral Therapy for Dummies <a href="https://mindhearteu.files.wordpress.com/2017/12/cognitive-behavioural-therapy-for-dummies-copy.pdf" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://mindhearteu.files.wordpress.com/2017/12/cognitive-behavioural-therapy-for-dummies-copy.pdf</a> Song that symbolizes recovery: Better than Drugs by Skillet <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9VGyDL7sTHA" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9VGyDL7sTHA</a> Contact Timothy at <a href="mailto:kayla72911@gmail.com">kayla72911@gmail.com</a> Timothy's book -The Road to Sobriety: lifting yourself up when there doesn't seem like much to hold onto Get it for free on Kindle Unlimited or purchase here at this link <a href="https://www.amazon.com/gp/aw/d/B08N1KGNTK/ref=tmm_pap_swatch_0?ie=UTF8&amp;qid=1627864045&amp;sr=8-3" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://www.amazon.com/gp/aw/d/B08N1KGNTK/ref=tmm_pap_swatch_0?ie=UTF8&amp;qid=1627864045&amp;sr=8-3</a> (c) 2021 The Way Out Podcast | All Rights Reserved Theme Music: “all clear” (<a href="https://ketsa.uk/browse-music/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://ketsa.uk/browse-music/</a>) by Ketsa (<a href="https://ketsa.uk" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://ketsa.uk</a>)  licensed under CC BY-NC-ND  4.0(<a href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/</a>--- Send in a voice message: <a href="https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/the-way-out-podcast/message" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/the-way-out-podcast/message</a>

Timothy Clancy's Road to Sobriety & Personal Success | The Way Out Podcast Episode 253